Recent National Weather Service forecasts for the Los Angeles area, including LAX, point to highs near 76–78°F on August 7 amid a persistent marine layer that brings patchy fog and onshore flow, moderating peak temperatures along the coast. This aligns with typical early-August climatology, where average highs hover around 84°F downtown but drop several degrees nearer the ocean due to the cool Pacific influence and low-level stratus. Model consensus shows limited daytime heating under mostly sunny afternoon conditions, keeping values clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s rather than pushing into the 80s. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates and historical coastal analogs heavily, resulting in strong implied probabilities for the 76–79°F range while assigning low odds to warmer outliers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
8月7日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
78～79°F 51%
76〜77°F 36%
80〜81°F 9%
74〜75°F 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
71°F以下
<1%
72〜73°F
3%
74〜75°F
8%
76〜77°F
36%
78～79°F
51%
80〜81°F
9%
82～83°F
1%
84〜85°F
1%
86〜87°F
1%
88〜89°F
<1%
90°F以上
<1%
78～79°F 51%
76〜77°F 36%
80〜81°F 9%
74〜75°F 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
71°F以下
$205 Vol.
<1%
72〜73°F
$934 Vol.
3%
74〜75°F
$984 Vol.
8%
76〜77°F
$644 Vol.
36%
78～79°F
$5,117 Vol.
51%
80〜81°F
$527 Vol.
9%
82～83°F
$416 Vol.
1%
84〜85°F
$10 Vol.
1%
86〜87°F
$10 Vol.
1%
88〜89°F
$260 Vol.
<1%
90°F以上
$170 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for the Los Angeles area, including LAX, point to highs near 76–78°F on August 7 amid a persistent marine layer that brings patchy fog and onshore flow, moderating peak temperatures along the coast. This aligns with typical early-August climatology, where average highs hover around 84°F downtown but drop several degrees nearer the ocean due to the cool Pacific influence and low-level stratus. Model consensus shows limited daytime heating under mostly sunny afternoon conditions, keeping values clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s rather than pushing into the 80s. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates and historical coastal analogs heavily, resulting in strong implied probabilities for the 76–79°F range while assigning low odds to warmer outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$9,277終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for the Los Angeles area, including LAX, point to highs near 76–78°F on August 7 amid a persistent marine layer that brings patchy fog and onshore flow, moderating peak temperatures along the coast. This aligns with typical early-August climatology, where average highs hover around 84°F downtown but drop several degrees nearer the ocean due to the cool Pacific influence and low-level stratus. Model consensus shows limited daytime heating under mostly sunny afternoon conditions, keeping values clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s rather than pushing into the 80s. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates and historical coastal analogs heavily, resulting in strong implied probabilities for the 76–79°F range while assigning low odds to warmer outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$9,277終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for the Los Angeles area, including LAX, point to highs near 76–78°F on August 7 amid a persistent marine layer that brings patchy fog and onshore flow, moderating peak temperatures along the coast. This aligns with typical early-August climatology, where average highs hover around 84°F downtown but drop several degrees nearer the ocean due to the cool Pacific influence and low-level stratus. Model consensus shows limited daytime heating under mostly sunny afternoon conditions, keeping values clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s rather than pushing into the 80s. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates and historical coastal analogs heavily, resulting in strong implied probabilities for the 76–79°F range while assigning low odds to warmer outliers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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