Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 25 show notable divergence across models, with projected highs ranging from the mid-teens to mid-20s Celsius amid a shift from recent warm conditions that produced a 32.7°C peak on September 22. A developing low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary are introducing uncertainty through variable wind patterns, increased cloud cover, and precipitation chances that could suppress daytime maxima. Onshore flow from the Atlantic tends to moderate temperatures, while clearer intervals or downslope effects might allow brief warming. Historical September averages near 19°C provide context, yet the current spread in ensemble guidance—particularly on system timing and intensity—explains the closely matched market probabilities across temperature thresholds. Updated runs from agencies like the South African Weather Service will likely refine these outlooks ahead of the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月25日のケープタウンの最高気温は?
21℃ 37%
20℃ 32%
24℃ 21%
23℃ 20%
18℃以下
5%
19℃
5%
20℃
32%
21℃
37%
22℃
19%
23℃
20%
24℃
21%
25℃
11%
26°C
10%
27℃
16%
28℃以上
4%
21℃ 37%
20℃ 32%
24℃ 21%
23℃ 20%
18℃以下
5%
19℃
5%
20℃
32%
21℃
37%
22℃
19%
23℃
20%
24℃
21%
25℃
11%
26°C
10%
27℃
16%
28℃以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 25 show notable divergence across models, with projected highs ranging from the mid-teens to mid-20s Celsius amid a shift from recent warm conditions that produced a 32.7°C peak on September 22. A developing low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary are introducing uncertainty through variable wind patterns, increased cloud cover, and precipitation chances that could suppress daytime maxima. Onshore flow from the Atlantic tends to moderate temperatures, while clearer intervals or downslope effects might allow brief warming. Historical September averages near 19°C provide context, yet the current spread in ensemble guidance—particularly on system timing and intensity—explains the closely matched market probabilities across temperature thresholds. Updated runs from agencies like the South African Weather Service will likely refine these outlooks ahead of the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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