Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature near 32–33°C for Guangzhou on September 23, with elevated humidity near 70% and an 70–80% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. This aligns with seasonal norms for late monsoon transition, when tropical moisture and cloud cover frequently cap daytime maxima below the recent 35–36°C readings. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across 30–37°C outcomes because small differences in timing or intensity of precipitation, or minor shifts in steering winds, can alter the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated regional model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月23日の広州の最高気温は?
31℃ 35%
33℃ 21%
34°C 21%
35℃ 20%
27℃以下
4%
28℃
4%
29℃
4%
30°C
17%
31℃
35%
32℃
19%
33℃
21%
34°C
21%
35℃
20%
36℃
11%
37℃以上
18%
31℃ 35%
33℃ 21%
34°C 21%
35℃ 20%
27℃以下
4%
28℃
4%
29℃
4%
30°C
17%
31℃
35%
32℃
19%
33℃
21%
34°C
21%
35℃
20%
36℃
11%
37℃以上
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature near 32–33°C for Guangzhou on September 23, with elevated humidity near 70% and an 70–80% chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. This aligns with seasonal norms for late monsoon transition, when tropical moisture and cloud cover frequently cap daytime maxima below the recent 35–36°C readings. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across 30–37°C outcomes because small differences in timing or intensity of precipitation, or minor shifts in steering winds, can alter the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated regional model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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