Traders see closely matched probabilities across 15–22°C outcomes for Moscow’s September 23 high because short-range ensemble forecasts show modest spread around a central tendency near 17–19°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southeasterly flow are expected to limit daytime warming, while model differences in timing and intensity of precipitation create uncertainty about whether the maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Official guidance from the Hydrometeorological Center and latest ECMWF/GFS runs will be the key near-term catalysts, with resolution hinging on verified observations at the primary Moscow station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月23日のモスクワの最高気温は?
21℃ 39%
22℃ 38%
18°C 28%
17℃ 25%
13℃以下
4%
14℃
4%
15°C
8%
16℃
21%
17℃
25%
18°C
28%
19°C
23%
20℃
21%
21℃
39%
22℃
38%
23°C以上
4%
21℃ 39%
22℃ 38%
18°C 28%
17℃ 25%
13℃以下
4%
14℃
4%
15°C
8%
16℃
21%
17℃
25%
18°C
28%
19°C
23%
20℃
21%
21℃
39%
22℃
38%
23°C以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched probabilities across 15–22°C outcomes for Moscow’s September 23 high because short-range ensemble forecasts show modest spread around a central tendency near 17–19°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southeasterly flow are expected to limit daytime warming, while model differences in timing and intensity of precipitation create uncertainty about whether the maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Official guidance from the Hydrometeorological Center and latest ECMWF/GFS runs will be the key near-term catalysts, with resolution hinging on verified observations at the primary Moscow station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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