Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 23 indicate a high near 23–26°C amid widespread cloud cover and periods of light rain or showers, with models showing modest disagreement on the exact timing and intensity of precipitation. These conditions limit solar heating and daytime temperature rise compared to clearer autumn baselines, keeping extremes above 29°C or below 22°C improbable. Trader consensus across the narrow 22–28°C band reflects this forecast spread from sources like numerical models and regional observations, where small shifts in steering flow or moisture could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts likely to refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月23日の成都の最高気温は?
29℃ 35%
26℃ 22%
27℃ 22%
25°C 21%
21℃以下
<1%
22℃
17%
23℃
18%
24°C
18%
25°C
23%
26℃
22%
27℃
22%
28℃
18%
29℃
35%
30°C
2%
31℃以上
<1%
29℃ 35%
26℃ 22%
27℃ 22%
25°C 21%
21℃以下
<1%
22℃
17%
23℃
18%
24°C
18%
25°C
23%
26℃
22%
27℃
22%
28℃
18%
29℃
35%
30°C
2%
31℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 23 indicate a high near 23–26°C amid widespread cloud cover and periods of light rain or showers, with models showing modest disagreement on the exact timing and intensity of precipitation. These conditions limit solar heating and daytime temperature rise compared to clearer autumn baselines, keeping extremes above 29°C or below 22°C improbable. Trader consensus across the narrow 22–28°C band reflects this forecast spread from sources like numerical models and regional observations, where small shifts in steering flow or moisture could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts likely to refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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