Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate peak temperatures in Milan of 35–36°C on August 10 under sunny skies and light easterly winds, driving the near-even split between those two leading outcomes. This exceeds the long-term August average of roughly 28–30°C due to a transient ridge of high pressure enhancing daytime heating and limiting cloud cover or precipitation. Key differentiating factors include minor model discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing and the precise timing of maximum insolation, plus the urban heat island effect at official measurement sites. Updated runs from European and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow gap before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月10日のミラノの最高気温は?
36°C 37%
35°C 35%
34°C 16%
37°C 13%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
16%
35°C
35%
36°C
37%
37°C
13%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C以上
<1%
36°C 37%
35°C 35%
34°C 16%
37°C 13%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
16%
35°C
35%
36°C
37%
37°C
13%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate peak temperatures in Milan of 35–36°C on August 10 under sunny skies and light easterly winds, driving the near-even split between those two leading outcomes. This exceeds the long-term August average of roughly 28–30°C due to a transient ridge of high pressure enhancing daytime heating and limiting cloud cover or precipitation. Key differentiating factors include minor model discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing and the precise timing of maximum insolation, plus the urban heat island effect at official measurement sites. Updated runs from European and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow gap before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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