Recent forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight period for London on August 10, with minimum temperatures most likely settling near 18–19°C amid a warming trend and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 19°C (52%) and 18°C (35%), reflecting consensus on above-average early-August lows driven by southerly airflow and elevated dew points. Short showers noted in some guidance could slightly suppress the minimum, supporting the smaller probabilities for 17°C or lower. Updated model runs through August 9 show minimal spread, though any clear-sky development or wind shift could nudge readings downward before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月10日のロンドンの最低気温は？
8月10日のロンドンの最低気温は？
19°C 52%
18°C 34%
17°C 13%
16°C 3.8%
新規
新規
2026/08/10
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
13%
18°C
34%
19°C
52%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23℃以上
<1%
19°C 52%
18°C 34%
17°C 13%
16°C 3.8%
新規
新規
2026/08/10
13°C or below
$230 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$253 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$576 Vol.
1%
16°C
$223 Vol.
4%
17°C
$255 Vol.
13%
18°C
$3,372 Vol.
34%
19°C
$640 Vol.
52%
20°C
$326 Vol.
4%
21°C
$210 Vol.
1%
22°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
23℃以上
$342 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight period for London on August 10, with minimum temperatures most likely settling near 18–19°C amid a warming trend and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 19°C (52%) and 18°C (35%), reflecting consensus on above-average early-August lows driven by southerly airflow and elevated dew points. Short showers noted in some guidance could slightly suppress the minimum, supporting the smaller probabilities for 17°C or lower. Updated model runs through August 9 show minimal spread, though any clear-sky development or wind shift could nudge readings downward before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$6,595終了日
2026/08/10マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight period for London on August 10, with minimum temperatures most likely settling near 18–19°C amid a warming trend and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 19°C (52%) and 18°C (35%), reflecting consensus on above-average early-August lows driven by southerly airflow and elevated dew points. Short showers noted in some guidance could slightly suppress the minimum, supporting the smaller probabilities for 17°C or lower. Updated model runs through August 9 show minimal spread, though any clear-sky development or wind shift could nudge readings downward before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,595終了日
2026/08/10マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight period for London on August 10, with minimum temperatures most likely settling near 18–19°C amid a warming trend and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 19°C (52%) and 18°C (35%), reflecting consensus on above-average early-August lows driven by southerly airflow and elevated dew points. Short showers noted in some guidance could slightly suppress the minimum, supporting the smaller probabilities for 17°C or lower. Updated model runs through August 9 show minimal spread, though any clear-sky development or wind shift could nudge readings downward before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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