High pressure over southern England is steering warm, dry air into London ahead of August 9, supporting Met Office guidance for a maximum of 32 °C under sunny spells and light winds. Ensemble runs from the Met Office and ECMWF show limited spread around 30–33 °C, consistent with the summer’s above-average temperatures (England maxima running ~2–3 °C above the long-term mean) and the absence of Atlantic fronts or significant cloud cover. Recent model updates have trimmed the upper tail slightly while keeping 31–32 °C as the central tendency, aligning with the market-implied odds that cluster around those values. Resolution will hinge on official Met Office observations at the London Heathrow or Kew Gardens sites, with any late-day convective cooling or stronger winds the main variables that could shift the peak downward.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月9日のロンドンの最高気温は？
8月9日のロンドンの最高気温は？
31°C 45%
32°C 29%
30°C 17%
33°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/09
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
17%
31°C
45%
32°C
29%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
32°C 29%
30°C 17%
33°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/09
26°C or below
$68 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$43 Vol.
1%
28°C
$650 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,108 Vol.
4%
30°C
$1,436 Vol.
17%
31°C
$1,050 Vol.
45%
32°C
$1,018 Vol.
29%
33°C
$331 Vol.
7%
34°C
$915 Vol.
3%
35°C
$84 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$158 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure over southern England is steering warm, dry air into London ahead of August 9, supporting Met Office guidance for a maximum of 32 °C under sunny spells and light winds. Ensemble runs from the Met Office and ECMWF show limited spread around 30–33 °C, consistent with the summer’s above-average temperatures (England maxima running ~2–3 °C above the long-term mean) and the absence of Atlantic fronts or significant cloud cover. Recent model updates have trimmed the upper tail slightly while keeping 31–32 °C as the central tendency, aligning with the market-implied odds that cluster around those values. Resolution will hinge on official Met Office observations at the London Heathrow or Kew Gardens sites, with any late-day convective cooling or stronger winds the main variables that could shift the peak downward.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$6,862終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure over southern England is steering warm, dry air into London ahead of August 9, supporting Met Office guidance for a maximum of 32 °C under sunny spells and light winds. Ensemble runs from the Met Office and ECMWF show limited spread around 30–33 °C, consistent with the summer’s above-average temperatures (England maxima running ~2–3 °C above the long-term mean) and the absence of Atlantic fronts or significant cloud cover. Recent model updates have trimmed the upper tail slightly while keeping 31–32 °C as the central tendency, aligning with the market-implied odds that cluster around those values. Resolution will hinge on official Met Office observations at the London Heathrow or Kew Gardens sites, with any late-day convective cooling or stronger winds the main variables that could shift the peak downward.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,862終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETHigh pressure over southern England is steering warm, dry air into London ahead of August 9, supporting Met Office guidance for a maximum of 32 °C under sunny spells and light winds. Ensemble runs from the Met Office and ECMWF show limited spread around 30–33 °C, consistent with the summer’s above-average temperatures (England maxima running ~2–3 °C above the long-term mean) and the absence of Atlantic fronts or significant cloud cover. Recent model updates have trimmed the upper tail slightly while keeping 31–32 °C as the central tendency, aligning with the market-implied odds that cluster around those values. Resolution will hinge on official Met Office observations at the London Heathrow or Kew Gardens sites, with any late-day convective cooling or stronger winds the main variables that could shift the peak downward.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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