Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a mild overnight period for London on August 8, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 14–16 °C amid a warming trend and moderate southwesterly flow. This positions 15 °C and 16 °C as the tightest market-implied outcomes because clear to partly cloudy skies will limit radiative cooling while urban heat-island effects and light winds prevent deeper drops; a 14 °C outcome remains plausible if stronger nocturnal radiational cooling develops under clearer conditions or if a slightly cooler air mass arrives. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 13–14 °C, so current guidance reflects above-normal overnight warmth, with traders closely monitoring the next Met Office and ECMWF model runs for shifts in cloud cover or wind that could tip resolution between these narrow thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日のロンドンの最低気温は?
15°C 44%
16°C 32%
14°C 21%
13°C 3.4%
10℃以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
21%
15°C
44%
16°C
32%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C以上
<1%
15°C 44%
16°C 32%
14°C 21%
13°C 3.4%
10℃以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
21%
15°C
44%
16°C
32%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a mild overnight period for London on August 8, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 14–16 °C amid a warming trend and moderate southwesterly flow. This positions 15 °C and 16 °C as the tightest market-implied outcomes because clear to partly cloudy skies will limit radiative cooling while urban heat-island effects and light winds prevent deeper drops; a 14 °C outcome remains plausible if stronger nocturnal radiational cooling develops under clearer conditions or if a slightly cooler air mass arrives. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 13–14 °C, so current guidance reflects above-normal overnight warmth, with traders closely monitoring the next Met Office and ECMWF model runs for shifts in cloud cover or wind that could tip resolution between these narrow thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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