Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions dominate trader sentiment for Manila's August 11 maximum temperature, with PAGASA forecasting 25–32°C and 60% rain probability under frequent showers and thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and limit daytime heating. Recent heavy rainfall outlooks for August 9–11 reinforce this pattern, suppressing peaks relative to the seasonal average of ~31°C. Market clustering around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in shower timing, potential monsoon breaks, and short-range model variability in wind and moisture transport. Distant systems like Typhoon Dolphin may indirectly enhance moisture influx without direct landfall, while urban heat island effects at official stations add minor upward bias. Resolution hinges on the exact daily maximum recorded, with incoming PAGASA updates likely to refine odds before the close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月11日のマニラの最高気温は？
8月11日のマニラの最高気温は？
29°C 26%
30°C 23%
31℃ 16%
28°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
25℃以下
1%
26℃
5%
27℃
9%
28°C
16%
29°C
27%
30°C
23%
31℃
16%
32°C
10%
33°C
1%
34℃
2%
35°C以上
<1%
29°C 26%
30°C 23%
31℃ 16%
28°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
25℃以下
$28 Vol.
1%
26℃
$28 Vol.
5%
27℃
$11 Vol.
9%
28°C
$3 Vol.
16%
29°C
$6 Vol.
27%
30°C
$0 Vol.
23%
31℃
$0 Vol.
16%
32°C
$1 Vol.
10%
33°C
$27 Vol.
1%
34℃
$10 Vol.
2%
35°C以上
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions dominate trader sentiment for Manila's August 11 maximum temperature, with PAGASA forecasting 25–32°C and 60% rain probability under frequent showers and thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and limit daytime heating. Recent heavy rainfall outlooks for August 9–11 reinforce this pattern, suppressing peaks relative to the seasonal average of ~31°C. Market clustering around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in shower timing, potential monsoon breaks, and short-range model variability in wind and moisture transport. Distant systems like Typhoon Dolphin may indirectly enhance moisture influx without direct landfall, while urban heat island effects at official stations add minor upward bias. Resolution hinges on the exact daily maximum recorded, with incoming PAGASA updates likely to refine odds before the close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$134終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions dominate trader sentiment for Manila's August 11 maximum temperature, with PAGASA forecasting 25–32°C and 60% rain probability under frequent showers and thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and limit daytime heating. Recent heavy rainfall outlooks for August 9–11 reinforce this pattern, suppressing peaks relative to the seasonal average of ~31°C. Market clustering around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in shower timing, potential monsoon breaks, and short-range model variability in wind and moisture transport. Distant systems like Typhoon Dolphin may indirectly enhance moisture influx without direct landfall, while urban heat island effects at official stations add minor upward bias. Resolution hinges on the exact daily maximum recorded, with incoming PAGASA updates likely to refine odds before the close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$134終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions dominate trader sentiment for Manila's August 11 maximum temperature, with PAGASA forecasting 25–32°C and 60% rain probability under frequent showers and thunderstorms that increase cloud cover and limit daytime heating. Recent heavy rainfall outlooks for August 9–11 reinforce this pattern, suppressing peaks relative to the seasonal average of ~31°C. Market clustering around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in shower timing, potential monsoon breaks, and short-range model variability in wind and moisture transport. Distant systems like Typhoon Dolphin may indirectly enhance moisture influx without direct landfall, while urban heat island effects at official stations add minor upward bias. Resolution hinges on the exact daily maximum recorded, with incoming PAGASA updates likely to refine odds before the close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問