Current forecast consensus from major models points to a Moscow high temperature on August 11 near 24–26 °C, with trader sentiment clustered around these outcomes due to modest day-to-day variability and lingering model spread. Primary differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any cloud cover or scattered showers, which can suppress peak heating by 1–2 °C, versus clearer intervals that allow greater solar insolation and surface warming. Wind direction also matters: southerly flow advects warmer air masses, while northerly or northwesterly breezes introduce cooler continental air. Recent observations show stable high pressure dominating the region with limited precipitation, keeping probabilities tightly bunched; updated short-range model runs and satellite imagery over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月11日のモスクワの最高気温は？
8月11日のモスクワの最高気温は？
25°C 36%
24°C 22%
26°C 13%
23°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
21°C or below
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
11%
24°C
28%
25°C
36%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
25°C 36%
24°C 22%
26°C 13%
23°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
21°C or below
$31 Vol.
5%
22°C
$10 Vol.
5%
23°C
$0 Vol.
11%
24°C
$48 Vol.
28%
25°C
$29 Vol.
36%
26°C
$113 Vol.
13%
27°C
$84 Vol.
2%
28°C
$44 Vol.
3%
29°C
$27 Vol.
5%
30°C
$17 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$17 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from major models points to a Moscow high temperature on August 11 near 24–26 °C, with trader sentiment clustered around these outcomes due to modest day-to-day variability and lingering model spread. Primary differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any cloud cover or scattered showers, which can suppress peak heating by 1–2 °C, versus clearer intervals that allow greater solar insolation and surface warming. Wind direction also matters: southerly flow advects warmer air masses, while northerly or northwesterly breezes introduce cooler continental air. Recent observations show stable high pressure dominating the region with limited precipitation, keeping probabilities tightly bunched; updated short-range model runs and satellite imagery over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$419終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from major models points to a Moscow high temperature on August 11 near 24–26 °C, with trader sentiment clustered around these outcomes due to modest day-to-day variability and lingering model spread. Primary differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any cloud cover or scattered showers, which can suppress peak heating by 1–2 °C, versus clearer intervals that allow greater solar insolation and surface warming. Wind direction also matters: southerly flow advects warmer air masses, while northerly or northwesterly breezes introduce cooler continental air. Recent observations show stable high pressure dominating the region with limited precipitation, keeping probabilities tightly bunched; updated short-range model runs and satellite imagery over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$419終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from major models points to a Moscow high temperature on August 11 near 24–26 °C, with trader sentiment clustered around these outcomes due to modest day-to-day variability and lingering model spread. Primary differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any cloud cover or scattered showers, which can suppress peak heating by 1–2 °C, versus clearer intervals that allow greater solar insolation and surface warming. Wind direction also matters: southerly flow advects warmer air masses, while northerly or northwesterly breezes introduce cooler continental air. Recent observations show stable high pressure dominating the region with limited precipitation, keeping probabilities tightly bunched; updated short-range model runs and satellite imagery over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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