Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a typical early-August subtropical pattern dominated by the western Pacific subtropical high, with daytime highs centered on 32–34°C amid high humidity and scattered showers. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to partly cloudy conditions with isolated thunderstorms that could suppress peak temperatures through evaporative cooling or enhance them via clearer intervals and stronger insolation. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C reflects ongoing uncertainty in short-range guidance regarding exact timing of convective activity and boundary-layer moisture, which historically produces day-to-day swings of 2–3°C in the Sichuan Basin. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely narrow resolution criteria for the highest observed temperature.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日の成都の最高気温は？
8月8日の成都の最高気温は？
33℃ 30%
32°C 26%
34°C 22%
31°C 9%
新規
$12,976 Vol.
新規
$12,976 Vol.
2026/08/08
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
1%
29°C
1%
30℃
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
26%
33℃
30%
34°C
22%
35°C
9%
36℃以上
3%
33℃ 30%
32°C 26%
34°C 22%
31°C 9%
新規
$12,976 Vol.
新規
$12,976 Vol.
2026/08/08
26℃以下
$637 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,263 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$1,275 Vol.
1%
29°C
$652 Vol.
1%
30℃
$473 Vol.
3%
31°C
$691 Vol.
9%
32°C
$1,199 Vol.
26%
33℃
$2,667 Vol.
30%
34°C
$1,335 Vol.
22%
35°C
$749 Vol.
9%
36℃以上
$2,035 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a typical early-August subtropical pattern dominated by the western Pacific subtropical high, with daytime highs centered on 32–34°C amid high humidity and scattered showers. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to partly cloudy conditions with isolated thunderstorms that could suppress peak temperatures through evaporative cooling or enhance them via clearer intervals and stronger insolation. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C reflects ongoing uncertainty in short-range guidance regarding exact timing of convective activity and boundary-layer moisture, which historically produces day-to-day swings of 2–3°C in the Sichuan Basin. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely narrow resolution criteria for the highest observed temperature.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$12,976終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a typical early-August subtropical pattern dominated by the western Pacific subtropical high, with daytime highs centered on 32–34°C amid high humidity and scattered showers. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to partly cloudy conditions with isolated thunderstorms that could suppress peak temperatures through evaporative cooling or enhance them via clearer intervals and stronger insolation. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C reflects ongoing uncertainty in short-range guidance regarding exact timing of convective activity and boundary-layer moisture, which historically produces day-to-day swings of 2–3°C in the Sichuan Basin. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely narrow resolution criteria for the highest observed temperature.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$12,976終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a typical early-August subtropical pattern dominated by the western Pacific subtropical high, with daytime highs centered on 32–34°C amid high humidity and scattered showers. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to partly cloudy conditions with isolated thunderstorms that could suppress peak temperatures through evaporative cooling or enhance them via clearer intervals and stronger insolation. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32–34°C reflects ongoing uncertainty in short-range guidance regarding exact timing of convective activity and boundary-layer moisture, which historically produces day-to-day swings of 2–3°C in the Sichuan Basin. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely narrow resolution criteria for the highest observed temperature.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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