Trader consensus on a 24°C high temperature in Beijing on April 26 reflects confirmed observational data from the Beijing Capital International Airport meteorological station—the market's official resolution source—showing peak readings at 24°C under persistent overcast skies and northeast winds. China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts converged on this outcome following earlier model divergences, with cloud cover limiting solar insolation and preventing further warming despite slightly above-normal late-April air masses (climatological average ~22°C). Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing a brief 1°C rebound, though diurnal cooling patterns and model ensembles indicate low likelihood as the day progresses toward evening. Final daily records expected from CMA by tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Beijing on April 26?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$122,101 Vol.
$122,101 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$122,101 Vol.
$122,101 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on a 24°C high temperature in Beijing on April 26 reflects confirmed observational data from the Beijing Capital International Airport meteorological station—the market's official resolution source—showing peak readings at 24°C under persistent overcast skies and northeast winds. China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts converged on this outcome following earlier model divergences, with cloud cover limiting solar insolation and preventing further warming despite slightly above-normal late-April air masses (climatological average ~22°C). Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing a brief 1°C rebound, though diurnal cooling patterns and model ensembles indicate low likelihood as the day progresses toward evening. Final daily records expected from CMA by tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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