Recent forecasts from models like those aggregated by AccuWeather and regional sources indicate Beijing's July 12 maximum will likely fall near 30–32°C, driven by typical mid-summer monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that limits surface heating. Official outlooks show highs around 30.6–32°C on that date amid 60–80% precipitation chances, which cap daytime peaks by reducing insolation compared to clearer conditions. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 29–31°C, with slight edges to 30°C reflecting ensemble consensus on modest warming from current 32°C readings offset by rain-cooled air masses. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model runs through July 11–12 emphasize uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity that could shift the daily high by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月12日の北京の最高気温は？
7月12日の北京の最高気温は？
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$86,716 Vol.
$86,716 Vol.
2026/07/12
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$86,716 Vol.
$86,716 Vol.
2026/07/12
27°C or below
$11,046 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,648 Vol.
No
29°C
$9,685 Vol.
No
30°C
$10,382 Vol.
No
31°C
$13,138 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$15,479 Vol.
No
33°C
$8,442 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,598 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,293 Vol.
No
36°C
$2,433 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$571 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those aggregated by AccuWeather and regional sources indicate Beijing's July 12 maximum will likely fall near 30–32°C, driven by typical mid-summer monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that limits surface heating. Official outlooks show highs around 30.6–32°C on that date amid 60–80% precipitation chances, which cap daytime peaks by reducing insolation compared to clearer conditions. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 29–31°C, with slight edges to 30°C reflecting ensemble consensus on modest warming from current 32°C readings offset by rain-cooled air masses. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model runs through July 11–12 emphasize uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity that could shift the daily high by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$86,716終了日
2026/07/12マーケット開始日
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those aggregated by AccuWeather and regional sources indicate Beijing's July 12 maximum will likely fall near 30–32°C, driven by typical mid-summer monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that limits surface heating. Official outlooks show highs around 30.6–32°C on that date amid 60–80% precipitation chances, which cap daytime peaks by reducing insolation compared to clearer conditions. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 29–31°C, with slight edges to 30°C reflecting ensemble consensus on modest warming from current 32°C readings offset by rain-cooled air masses. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model runs through July 11–12 emphasize uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity that could shift the daily high by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$86,716終了日
2026/07/12マーケット開始日
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent forecasts from models like those aggregated by AccuWeather and regional sources indicate Beijing's July 12 maximum will likely fall near 30–32°C, driven by typical mid-summer monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that limits surface heating. Official outlooks show highs around 30.6–32°C on that date amid 60–80% precipitation chances, which cap daytime peaks by reducing insolation compared to clearer conditions. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 29–31°C, with slight edges to 30°C reflecting ensemble consensus on modest warming from current 32°C readings offset by rain-cooled air masses. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model runs through July 11–12 emphasize uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity that could shift the daily high by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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