Recent short-term forecast model runs for Beijing highlight uncertainty from East Asian monsoon influences and potential afternoon thunderstorm development around July 9, keeping the daily maximum tightly clustered near 32–33 °C. Typical early-July climatology supports highs in the low-to-mid 30s, but variable cloud cover, timing of any convective rainfall, and boundary-layer moisture can readily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Official guidance notes that stronger insolation under clearer skies favors the upper end of that range while increased cloudiness or earlier precipitation caps readings closer to 32 °C. With outcomes closely matched, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and any revisions in steering patterns or instability indices expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Beijing on July 9?
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 9?
34°C 59.1%
35°C 29.8%
33°C 7.5%
36°C 1.1%
$67,616 Vol.
$67,616 Vol.
2026/07/09
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
7%
34°C
59%
35°C
30%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 59.1%
35°C 29.8%
33°C 7.5%
36°C 1.1%
$67,616 Vol.
$67,616 Vol.
2026/07/09
27°C or below
$4,173 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,436 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,528 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$6,208 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,946 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$11,413 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$10,249 Vol.
7%
34°C
$5,647 Vol.
59%
35°C
$7,005 Vol.
30%
36°C
$4,482 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$6,614 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast model runs for Beijing highlight uncertainty from East Asian monsoon influences and potential afternoon thunderstorm development around July 9, keeping the daily maximum tightly clustered near 32–33 °C. Typical early-July climatology supports highs in the low-to-mid 30s, but variable cloud cover, timing of any convective rainfall, and boundary-layer moisture can readily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Official guidance notes that stronger insolation under clearer skies favors the upper end of that range while increased cloudiness or earlier precipitation caps readings closer to 32 °C. With outcomes closely matched, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and any revisions in steering patterns or instability indices expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$67,616終了日
2026/07/09マーケット開始日
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast model runs for Beijing highlight uncertainty from East Asian monsoon influences and potential afternoon thunderstorm development around July 9, keeping the daily maximum tightly clustered near 32–33 °C. Typical early-July climatology supports highs in the low-to-mid 30s, but variable cloud cover, timing of any convective rainfall, and boundary-layer moisture can readily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Official guidance notes that stronger insolation under clearer skies favors the upper end of that range while increased cloudiness or earlier precipitation caps readings closer to 32 °C. With outcomes closely matched, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and any revisions in steering patterns or instability indices expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$67,616終了日
2026/07/09マーケット開始日
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent short-term forecast model runs for Beijing highlight uncertainty from East Asian monsoon influences and potential afternoon thunderstorm development around July 9, keeping the daily maximum tightly clustered near 32–33 °C. Typical early-July climatology supports highs in the low-to-mid 30s, but variable cloud cover, timing of any convective rainfall, and boundary-layer moisture can readily shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Official guidance notes that stronger insolation under clearer skies favors the upper end of that range while increased cloudiness or earlier precipitation caps readings closer to 32 °C. With outcomes closely matched, traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and any revisions in steering patterns or instability indices expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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