Beijing's June 11 maximum temperature is locked at 32°C in the market due to tight agreement across meteorological forecasts and real-time observations. Numerical models and agency data show typical early-summer conditions with daytime highs near 31–33°C, driven by seasonal solar heating, moderate humidity, and weak synoptic forcing that limits rapid temperature swings. Historical climatology places Beijing's early-June averages around 30–32°C, reinforcing the outcome. A sudden influx of cooler air, unforecast cloud cover, or measurement adjustments at official stations could theoretically shift the recorded peak, yet current model consensus and proximity to resolution leave little room for deviation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Beijing on June 11?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$123,933 Vol.
$123,933 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$123,933 Vol.
$123,933 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Beijing's June 11 maximum temperature is locked at 32°C in the market due to tight agreement across meteorological forecasts and real-time observations. Numerical models and agency data show typical early-summer conditions with daytime highs near 31–33°C, driven by seasonal solar heating, moderate humidity, and weak synoptic forcing that limits rapid temperature swings. Historical climatology places Beijing's early-June averages around 30–32°C, reinforcing the outcome. A sudden influx of cooler air, unforecast cloud cover, or measurement adjustments at official stations could theoretically shift the recorded peak, yet current model consensus and proximity to resolution leave little room for deviation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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