Recent meteorological model runs from global and regional forecasts indicate a daily maximum temperature in Buenos Aires on June 30 most likely between 13–15 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 14 °C (32.5 %) and 15 °C (31.0 %). Mid-latitude winter conditions feature a passing high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and modest daytime heating under clear to partly cloudy skies, keeping values near seasonal normals of 12–15 °C. Small differences in predicted timing of any weak frontal boundary or boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split between the two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 16 °C or above reflect limited warm-air advection. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations tomorrow morning will resolve the precise peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月30日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
15°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$82,141 Vol.
$82,141 Vol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$82,141 Vol.
$82,141 Vol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 28, 2026, 11:01 PM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent meteorological model runs from global and regional forecasts indicate a daily maximum temperature in Buenos Aires on June 30 most likely between 13–15 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 14 °C (32.5 %) and 15 °C (31.0 %). Mid-latitude winter conditions feature a passing high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and modest daytime heating under clear to partly cloudy skies, keeping values near seasonal normals of 12–15 °C. Small differences in predicted timing of any weak frontal boundary or boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split between the two leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 16 °C or above reflect limited warm-air advection. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations tomorrow morning will resolve the precise peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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