Latest short-range forecast models from major agencies have converged on a June 1 maximum of exactly 31°C in Chengdu, reflecting stable early-summer conditions across the Sichuan Basin where daytime highs typically range 28–33°C. This tight ensemble guidance, incorporating current atmospheric patterns, humidity levels, and minimal cloud-cover variability, underpins the market’s near-certain pricing on 31°C. Official observational data from meteorological stations will determine final resolution, with only minor deviations from model runs or localized microclimate effects able to alter the recorded peak. Historical June baselines support this outcome as the most probable under prevailing climatology.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 1?
31°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
32°C <1%
$66,428 Vol.
$66,428 Vol.
2026/06/01
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
32°C <1%
$66,428 Vol.
$66,428 Vol.
2026/06/01
29°C or below
$6,184 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,167 Vol.
No
31°C
$19,182 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$8,705 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,756 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,817 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,570 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,036 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,784 Vol.
No
38°C
$1,561 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$1,668 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecast models from major agencies have converged on a June 1 maximum of exactly 31°C in Chengdu, reflecting stable early-summer conditions across the Sichuan Basin where daytime highs typically range 28–33°C. This tight ensemble guidance, incorporating current atmospheric patterns, humidity levels, and minimal cloud-cover variability, underpins the market’s near-certain pricing on 31°C. Official observational data from meteorological stations will determine final resolution, with only minor deviations from model runs or localized microclimate effects able to alter the recorded peak. Historical June baselines support this outcome as the most probable under prevailing climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： May 30, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
音量
$66,428終了日
2026/06/01マーケット開始日
May 30, 2026, 12:35 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecast models from major agencies have converged on a June 1 maximum of exactly 31°C in Chengdu, reflecting stable early-summer conditions across the Sichuan Basin where daytime highs typically range 28–33°C. This tight ensemble guidance, incorporating current atmospheric patterns, humidity levels, and minimal cloud-cover variability, underpins the market’s near-certain pricing on 31°C. Official observational data from meteorological stations will determine final resolution, with only minor deviations from model runs or localized microclimate effects able to alter the recorded peak. Historical June baselines support this outcome as the most probable under prevailing climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$66,428終了日
2026/06/01マーケット開始日
May 30, 2026, 12:35 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Latest short-range forecast models from major agencies have converged on a June 1 maximum of exactly 31°C in Chengdu, reflecting stable early-summer conditions across the Sichuan Basin where daytime highs typically range 28–33°C. This tight ensemble guidance, incorporating current atmospheric patterns, humidity levels, and minimal cloud-cover variability, underpins the market’s near-certain pricing on 31°C. Official observational data from meteorological stations will determine final resolution, with only minor deviations from model runs or localized microclimate effects able to alter the recorded peak. Historical June baselines support this outcome as the most probable under prevailing climatology.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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