Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a high near 26°C on June 25 in Chengdu, aligning with the market's leading implied probability, as cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the ongoing southern China monsoon pattern are expected to limit daytime heating. Seasonal baselines show late-June averages of 28–30°C, but early-month heat across China has given way to increased humidity and precipitation that can suppress peaks by 2–4°C through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with 25–27°C outcomes capturing most probability mass due to typical variability in Sichuan Basin conditions, while extremes below 24°C or above 28°C require stronger frontal systems or clear skies that current guidance does not strongly favor. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine these temperature thresholds for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月25日の成都の最高気温は？
6月25日の成都の最高気温は？
27℃ 100.0%
21℃以下 <1%
22℃ <1%
23°C <1%
$132,084 Vol.
$132,084 Vol.
2026/06/25
21℃以下
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27℃
はい
28℃
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30℃
いいえ
31℃以上
いいえ
27℃ 100.0%
21℃以下 <1%
22℃ <1%
23°C <1%
$132,084 Vol.
$132,084 Vol.
2026/06/25
21℃以下
$746 Vol.
いいえ
22℃
$20,303 Vol.
いいえ
23°C
$9,129 Vol.
いいえ
24℃
$22,502 Vol.
いいえ
25°C
$13,163 Vol.
いいえ
26°C
$14,887 Vol.
いいえ
27℃
$10,754 Vol.
はい
28℃
$21,221 Vol.
いいえ
29°C
$11,311 Vol.
いいえ
30℃
$4,780 Vol.
いいえ
31℃以上
$3,290 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a high near 26°C on June 25 in Chengdu, aligning with the market's leading implied probability, as cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the ongoing southern China monsoon pattern are expected to limit daytime heating. Seasonal baselines show late-June averages of 28–30°C, but early-month heat across China has given way to increased humidity and precipitation that can suppress peaks by 2–4°C through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with 25–27°C outcomes capturing most probability mass due to typical variability in Sichuan Basin conditions, while extremes below 24°C or above 28°C require stronger frontal systems or clear skies that current guidance does not strongly favor. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine these temperature thresholds for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$132,084終了日
2026/06/25マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a high near 26°C on June 25 in Chengdu, aligning with the market's leading implied probability, as cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the ongoing southern China monsoon pattern are expected to limit daytime heating. Seasonal baselines show late-June averages of 28–30°C, but early-month heat across China has given way to increased humidity and precipitation that can suppress peaks by 2–4°C through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with 25–27°C outcomes capturing most probability mass due to typical variability in Sichuan Basin conditions, while extremes below 24°C or above 28°C require stronger frontal systems or clear skies that current guidance does not strongly favor. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine these temperature thresholds for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$132,084終了日
2026/06/25マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts points to a high near 26°C on June 25 in Chengdu, aligning with the market's leading implied probability, as cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the ongoing southern China monsoon pattern are expected to limit daytime heating. Seasonal baselines show late-June averages of 28–30°C, but early-month heat across China has given way to increased humidity and precipitation that can suppress peaks by 2–4°C through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with 25–27°C outcomes capturing most probability mass due to typical variability in Sichuan Basin conditions, while extremes below 24°C or above 28°C require stronger frontal systems or clear skies that current guidance does not strongly favor. Updated runs ahead of the date will refine these temperature thresholds for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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