Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a high near 78–81°F in Chicago on July 24, below the 1991–2020 normal of 84.5°F, as a cooler, more stable air mass lingers with lighter winds and possible morning cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Traders have concentrated probability in the 78–81°F brackets because ensemble runs show modest spread driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal passage timing. With resolution hinging on the official O’Hare maximum, the tight clustering of odds around these values captures both the current forecast consensus and the realistic range of verification outcomes once final observations are recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月24日のシカゴの最高気温は？
7月24日のシカゴの最高気温は？
80〜81°F 42%
82〜83°F 23%
78～79°F 22%
76～77°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/07/24
75°F以下
2%
76～77°F
7%
78～79°F
22%
80〜81°F
42%
82〜83°F
23%
84～85°F
6%
86～87°F
2%
88〜89°F
1%
90〜91°F
<1%
92～93°F
<1%
華氏94度以上
<1%
80〜81°F 42%
82〜83°F 23%
78～79°F 22%
76～77°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/07/24
75°F以下
$1,083 Vol.
2%
76～77°F
$393 Vol.
7%
78～79°F
$905 Vol.
22%
80〜81°F
$276 Vol.
42%
82〜83°F
$510 Vol.
23%
84～85°F
$248 Vol.
6%
86～87°F
$108 Vol.
2%
88〜89°F
$125 Vol.
1%
90〜91°F
$278 Vol.
<1%
92～93°F
$532 Vol.
<1%
華氏94度以上
$229 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a high near 78–81°F in Chicago on July 24, below the 1991–2020 normal of 84.5°F, as a cooler, more stable air mass lingers with lighter winds and possible morning cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Traders have concentrated probability in the 78–81°F brackets because ensemble runs show modest spread driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal passage timing. With resolution hinging on the official O’Hare maximum, the tight clustering of odds around these values captures both the current forecast consensus and the realistic range of verification outcomes once final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$4,680終了日
2026/07/24マーケット開始日
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a high near 78–81°F in Chicago on July 24, below the 1991–2020 normal of 84.5°F, as a cooler, more stable air mass lingers with lighter winds and possible morning cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Traders have concentrated probability in the 78–81°F brackets because ensemble runs show modest spread driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal passage timing. With resolution hinging on the official O’Hare maximum, the tight clustering of odds around these values captures both the current forecast consensus and the realistic range of verification outcomes once final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,680終了日
2026/07/24マーケット開始日
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a high near 78–81°F in Chicago on July 24, below the 1991–2020 normal of 84.5°F, as a cooler, more stable air mass lingers with lighter winds and possible morning cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Traders have concentrated probability in the 78–81°F brackets because ensemble runs show modest spread driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal passage timing. With resolution hinging on the official O’Hare maximum, the tight clustering of odds around these values captures both the current forecast consensus and the realistic range of verification outcomes once final observations are recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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