Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to daytime highs near Chicago's July normal of 84–85°F on July 7, after the early-month heat wave, with scattered clouds and a possible lake breeze moderating peak readings. This produces the tight market split favoring the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins at 30.0% and 28.5% implied probability, respectively, while lower and higher outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or onshore flow. Official highs are measured at Midway Airport, where small shifts in wind direction or insolation can move the daily maximum across bin boundaries. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely drive final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chicago on July 7?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 7?
84-85°F 36%
82-83°F 32%
86-87°F 20%
80-81°F 10%
新規
新規
2026/07/07
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 36%
82-83°F 32%
86-87°F 20%
80-81°F 10%
新規
新規
2026/07/07
73°F or below
$188 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$351 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$596 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$128 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$731 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$238 Vol.
32%
84-85°F
$391 Vol.
36%
86-87°F
$241 Vol.
20%
88-89°F
$222 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$114 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$213 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to daytime highs near Chicago's July normal of 84–85°F on July 7, after the early-month heat wave, with scattered clouds and a possible lake breeze moderating peak readings. This produces the tight market split favoring the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins at 30.0% and 28.5% implied probability, respectively, while lower and higher outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or onshore flow. Official highs are measured at Midway Airport, where small shifts in wind direction or insolation can move the daily maximum across bin boundaries. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely drive final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$3,393終了日
2026/07/07マーケット開始日
Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to daytime highs near Chicago's July normal of 84–85°F on July 7, after the early-month heat wave, with scattered clouds and a possible lake breeze moderating peak readings. This produces the tight market split favoring the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins at 30.0% and 28.5% implied probability, respectively, while lower and higher outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or onshore flow. Official highs are measured at Midway Airport, where small shifts in wind direction or insolation can move the daily maximum across bin boundaries. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely drive final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,393終了日
2026/07/07マーケット開始日
Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to daytime highs near Chicago's July normal of 84–85°F on July 7, after the early-month heat wave, with scattered clouds and a possible lake breeze moderating peak readings. This produces the tight market split favoring the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins at 30.0% and 28.5% implied probability, respectively, while lower and higher outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or onshore flow. Official highs are measured at Midway Airport, where small shifts in wind direction or insolation can move the daily maximum across bin boundaries. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely drive final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問