Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 27°C high temperature in Chongqing on April 30, 2026, reflecting official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's monitoring stations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport, where midday peaks stalled around 24°C under persistent overcast skies before reaching exactly 27°C amid limited solar insolation and high humidity suppressing further diurnal heating. This aligns with numerical weather prediction model consensus from CMA, GFS, and ECMWF, which projected daytime maxima of 26-28°C given multi-layered cloud cover and weak southerly flow, matching the climatological average of 26.8°C for this date. With sunset past and no significant clearing observed, probabilities exceed 99% for 27°C; a realistic challenge would require a late data revision uncovering a higher station reading, though such discrepancies are rare in official records. Final resolution awaits end-of-day verification from authoritative sources.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 30?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 30?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$133,464 Vol.
$133,464 Vol.
2026/04/30
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$133,464 Vol.
$133,464 Vol.
2026/04/30
21°C or below
$3,728 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,916 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,431 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,827 Vol.
No
25°C
$22,548 Vol.
No
26°C
$19,091 Vol.
No
27°C
$27,527 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$14,732 Vol.
No
29°C
$12,002 Vol.
No
30°C
$7,064 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$13,598 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 27°C high temperature in Chongqing on April 30, 2026, reflecting official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's monitoring stations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport, where midday peaks stalled around 24°C under persistent overcast skies before reaching exactly 27°C amid limited solar insolation and high humidity suppressing further diurnal heating. This aligns with numerical weather prediction model consensus from CMA, GFS, and ECMWF, which projected daytime maxima of 26-28°C given multi-layered cloud cover and weak southerly flow, matching the climatological average of 26.8°C for this date. With sunset past and no significant clearing observed, probabilities exceed 99% for 27°C; a realistic challenge would require a late data revision uncovering a higher station reading, though such discrepancies are rare in official records. Final resolution awaits end-of-day verification from authoritative sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 28, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
音量
$133,464終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 2:38 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 27°C high temperature in Chongqing on April 30, 2026, reflecting official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's monitoring stations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport, where midday peaks stalled around 24°C under persistent overcast skies before reaching exactly 27°C amid limited solar insolation and high humidity suppressing further diurnal heating. This aligns with numerical weather prediction model consensus from CMA, GFS, and ECMWF, which projected daytime maxima of 26-28°C given multi-layered cloud cover and weak southerly flow, matching the climatological average of 26.8°C for this date. With sunset past and no significant clearing observed, probabilities exceed 99% for 27°C; a realistic challenge would require a late data revision uncovering a higher station reading, though such discrepancies are rare in official records. Final resolution awaits end-of-day verification from authoritative sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$133,464終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 2:38 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 27°C high temperature in Chongqing on April 30, 2026, reflecting official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's monitoring stations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport, where midday peaks stalled around 24°C under persistent overcast skies before reaching exactly 27°C amid limited solar insolation and high humidity suppressing further diurnal heating. This aligns with numerical weather prediction model consensus from CMA, GFS, and ECMWF, which projected daytime maxima of 26-28°C given multi-layered cloud cover and weak southerly flow, matching the climatological average of 26.8°C for this date. With sunset past and no significant clearing observed, probabilities exceed 99% for 27°C; a realistic challenge would require a late data revision uncovering a higher station reading, though such discrepancies are rare in official records. Final resolution awaits end-of-day verification from authoritative sources.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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