Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Chongqing on May 5, 2026, driven by official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station—the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration records—showing a peak of 31°C reached mid-afternoon amid hazy sunshine and stable atmospheric conditions. Current hourly readings confirm cooling trends as the diurnal cycle progresses, with no model consensus from numerical weather prediction outputs indicating further intensification before local midnight. This aligns with early May climatology, where highs average 26–28°C but can spike modestly under clear skies. A challenge would require an anomalous late-evening heat burst from subsidence or clear-sky radiation, defying observed upper-air stability and remaining daylight constraints. Final data expected post-midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 5?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 5?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$106,351 Vol.
$106,351 Vol.
2026/05/05
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$106,351 Vol.
$106,351 Vol.
2026/05/05
25°C or below
$9,116 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,813 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,359 Vol.
No
28°C
$11,373 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,284 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,854 Vol.
No
31°C
$11,429 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$10,292 Vol.
No
33°C
$18,134 Vol.
No
34°C
$14,583 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$9,115 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Chongqing on May 5, 2026, driven by official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station—the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration records—showing a peak of 31°C reached mid-afternoon amid hazy sunshine and stable atmospheric conditions. Current hourly readings confirm cooling trends as the diurnal cycle progresses, with no model consensus from numerical weather prediction outputs indicating further intensification before local midnight. This aligns with early May climatology, where highs average 26–28°C but can spike modestly under clear skies. A challenge would require an anomalous late-evening heat burst from subsidence or clear-sky radiation, defying observed upper-air stability and remaining daylight constraints. Final data expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
音量
$106,351終了日
2026/05/05マーケット開始日
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Chongqing on May 5, 2026, driven by official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station—the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration records—showing a peak of 31°C reached mid-afternoon amid hazy sunshine and stable atmospheric conditions. Current hourly readings confirm cooling trends as the diurnal cycle progresses, with no model consensus from numerical weather prediction outputs indicating further intensification before local midnight. This aligns with early May climatology, where highs average 26–28°C but can spike modestly under clear skies. A challenge would require an anomalous late-evening heat burst from subsidence or clear-sky radiation, defying observed upper-air stability and remaining daylight constraints. Final data expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$106,351終了日
2026/05/05マーケット開始日
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Chongqing on May 5, 2026, driven by official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station—the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration records—showing a peak of 31°C reached mid-afternoon amid hazy sunshine and stable atmospheric conditions. Current hourly readings confirm cooling trends as the diurnal cycle progresses, with no model consensus from numerical weather prediction outputs indicating further intensification before local midnight. This aligns with early May climatology, where highs average 26–28°C but can spike modestly under clear skies. A challenge would require an anomalous late-evening heat burst from subsidence or clear-sky radiation, defying observed upper-air stability and remaining daylight constraints. Final data expected post-midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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