Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Denver on July 9 points to a daily maximum in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the tight clustering around 88–91 °F reflecting modest spread in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover. Denver’s mile-high elevation amplifies sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and shortwave troughs, which can either enhance mixing for warmer readings or trigger scattered thunderstorms that cap highs. Seasonal context of near- to slightly above-normal temperatures, influenced by evolving Pacific patterns, supports the current market-implied odds while leaving room for final adjustments from the 12Z model suite and NWS forecast updates expected overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on July 9?
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 33%
86-87°F 17%
92-93°F 6.2%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
33%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 33%
86-87°F 17%
92-93°F 6.2%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
33%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Denver on July 9 points to a daily maximum in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the tight clustering around 88–91 °F reflecting modest spread in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover. Denver’s mile-high elevation amplifies sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and shortwave troughs, which can either enhance mixing for warmer readings or trigger scattered thunderstorms that cap highs. Seasonal context of near- to slightly above-normal temperatures, influenced by evolving Pacific patterns, supports the current market-implied odds while leaving room for final adjustments from the 12Z model suite and NWS forecast updates expected overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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