Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from the China Meteorological Administration, indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread showers over Guangzhou on July 29, suppressing daytime heating below the typical July average high of 33°C. Subtropical moisture advection from the South China Sea and a nearby trough are driving these conditions, with ensemble forecasts converging on maxima of 29–32°C. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 30–31°C outcomes, though model spread introduces uncertainty around exact peaks; updated runs and observational data from the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月29日の広州の最高気温は?
31℃ 29%
30℃ 24%
32℃ 19%
29℃ 16%
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
12%
29℃
16%
30℃
24%
31℃
29%
32℃
19%
33℃
12%
34℃
2%
35℃以上
2%
31℃ 29%
30℃ 24%
32℃ 19%
29℃ 16%
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
12%
29℃
16%
30℃
24%
31℃
29%
32℃
19%
33℃
12%
34℃
2%
35℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 27, 2026, 4:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from the China Meteorological Administration, indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread showers over Guangzhou on July 29, suppressing daytime heating below the typical July average high of 33°C. Subtropical moisture advection from the South China Sea and a nearby trough are driving these conditions, with ensemble forecasts converging on maxima of 29–32°C. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 30–31°C outcomes, though model spread introduces uncertainty around exact peaks; updated runs and observational data from the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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