Finnish Meteorological Institute's April 16 update forecasts a Helsinki high of 9°C on April 18 under light winds and minimal precipitation risk, yet trader consensus clusters implied probabilities tightly around 11–14°C (22–28.5% each), reflecting short-range model spread from blended sources like weather.com (10°C) and timeanddate.com (6°C). Key differentiators include persistence of cool northerly flow versus potential high-pressure ridging enabling clearer skies and solar heating, with ensemble prediction intervals capturing 3–5°C variability amid historical mid-April highs averaging 9–11°C. New FMI and ECMWF/GFS runs overnight may resolve steering pattern uncertainties before the observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 18?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 18?
12°C 31%
14°C or higher 29%
13°C 26%
11°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/18
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
13%
11°C
22%
12°C
31%
13°C
25%
14°C or higher
23%
12°C 31%
14°C or higher 29%
13°C 26%
11°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/18
4°C or below
$407 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$460 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$484 Vol.
1%
7°C
$383 Vol.
1%
8°C
$82 Vol.
2%
9°C
$78 Vol.
3%
10°C
$79 Vol.
13%
11°C
$60 Vol.
22%
12°C
$87 Vol.
31%
13°C
$124 Vol.
25%
14°C or higher
$59 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Finnish Meteorological Institute's April 16 update forecasts a Helsinki high of 9°C on April 18 under light winds and minimal precipitation risk, yet trader consensus clusters implied probabilities tightly around 11–14°C (22–28.5% each), reflecting short-range model spread from blended sources like weather.com (10°C) and timeanddate.com (6°C). Key differentiators include persistence of cool northerly flow versus potential high-pressure ridging enabling clearer skies and solar heating, with ensemble prediction intervals capturing 3–5°C variability amid historical mid-April highs averaging 9–11°C. New FMI and ECMWF/GFS runs overnight may resolve steering pattern uncertainties before the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
音量
$2,304終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 1:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Finnish Meteorological Institute's April 16 update forecasts a Helsinki high of 9°C on April 18 under light winds and minimal precipitation risk, yet trader consensus clusters implied probabilities tightly around 11–14°C (22–28.5% each), reflecting short-range model spread from blended sources like weather.com (10°C) and timeanddate.com (6°C). Key differentiators include persistence of cool northerly flow versus potential high-pressure ridging enabling clearer skies and solar heating, with ensemble prediction intervals capturing 3–5°C variability amid historical mid-April highs averaging 9–11°C. New FMI and ECMWF/GFS runs overnight may resolve steering pattern uncertainties before the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,304終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFinnish Meteorological Institute's April 16 update forecasts a Helsinki high of 9°C on April 18 under light winds and minimal precipitation risk, yet trader consensus clusters implied probabilities tightly around 11–14°C (22–28.5% each), reflecting short-range model spread from blended sources like weather.com (10°C) and timeanddate.com (6°C). Key differentiators include persistence of cool northerly flow versus potential high-pressure ridging enabling clearer skies and solar heating, with ensemble prediction intervals capturing 3–5°C variability amid historical mid-April highs averaging 9–11°C. New FMI and ECMWF/GFS runs overnight may resolve steering pattern uncertainties before the observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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