**Trader consensus at 100% for a 16°C high in Helsinki on June 17, 2026, reflects converging official observations and late-day model guidance showing limited daytime warming.** Persistent northwesterly flow advecting cool maritime air, combined with overcast or broken cloud cover and light showers, has suppressed solar heating and kept maximum temperatures capped near this level. Finnish Meteorological Institute data and European ensemble forecasts consistently point to afternoon readings around 15–16°C under these conditions, aligning with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges remain narrow but include a sharper-than-expected wind shift or rapid cloud break that could allow brief additional warming before sunset. However, with the day advanced and observations already clustering tightly around 16°C, such shifts are unlikely to alter the daily maximum. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores how real-time meteorological constraints—rather than climatological averages near 19°C—have driven the decisive positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Helsinki on June 17?
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$147,790 Vol.
$147,790 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$147,790 Vol.
$147,790 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 16°C high in Helsinki on June 17, 2026, reflects converging official observations and late-day model guidance showing limited daytime warming.** Persistent northwesterly flow advecting cool maritime air, combined with overcast or broken cloud cover and light showers, has suppressed solar heating and kept maximum temperatures capped near this level. Finnish Meteorological Institute data and European ensemble forecasts consistently point to afternoon readings around 15–16°C under these conditions, aligning with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges remain narrow but include a sharper-than-expected wind shift or rapid cloud break that could allow brief additional warming before sunset. However, with the day advanced and observations already clustering tightly around 16°C, such shifts are unlikely to alter the daily maximum. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores how real-time meteorological constraints—rather than climatological averages near 19°C—have driven the decisive positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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