National Weather Service guidance pegs Houston's April 15 high temperature in the upper 70s to mid-80s°F under a stubborn high-pressure ridge fostering warm, humid conditions with southeast winds of 10-15 mph transporting Gulf moisture. This setup, reinforced by recent clearing after early-month cool spells, elevates market-implied odds for 82-83°F (41%) and 84-85°F (32.5%), with trader consensus mirroring forecast model clusters around 82-85°F. Differentiating factors include potential cloudiness from 20% isolated shower risk and boundary-layer mixing efficiency, which could cap or boost peak heating; historical April averages near 79°F underscore the above-normal bias. Official readings from Houston Hobby Airport will resolve amid short-term forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Houston on April 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 15?
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 18%
86°F or higher 9%
$11,227 Vol.
$11,227 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
33%
86°F or higher
9%
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 18%
86°F or higher 9%
$11,227 Vol.
$11,227 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
33%
86°F or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 13, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service guidance pegs Houston's April 15 high temperature in the upper 70s to mid-80s°F under a stubborn high-pressure ridge fostering warm, humid conditions with southeast winds of 10-15 mph transporting Gulf moisture. This setup, reinforced by recent clearing after early-month cool spells, elevates market-implied odds for 82-83°F (41%) and 84-85°F (32.5%), with trader consensus mirroring forecast model clusters around 82-85°F. Differentiating factors include potential cloudiness from 20% isolated shower risk and boundary-layer mixing efficiency, which could cap or boost peak heating; historical April averages near 79°F underscore the above-normal bias. Official readings from Houston Hobby Airport will resolve amid short-term forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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