Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate highs in the upper 80s on April 18, 2026, under a persistent subtropical high pressure ridge aloft, fueling trader sentiment for 84°F or higher at 57% market-implied probability, with 82-83°F close behind at 29%. Southerly winds of 10-15 mph transporting warm, humid Gulf air, combined with mostly sunny skies through midday, support above-normal peaks—exceeding the April climatological average of 79°F at Houston Hobby Airport—while overnight lows near 71°F provide a warm baseline for rapid heating. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs has trended warmer over the past 24 hours amid building ridging, though an approaching cold front risks afternoon showers and thunderstorms that could cap intensities below 84°F. Watch for twice-daily NWS updates on frontal timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Houston on April 18?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 18?
84°F or higher 42%
82-83°F 26%
80-81°F 15%
78-79°F 6%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
26%
84°F or higher
45%
84°F or higher 42%
82-83°F 26%
80-81°F 15%
78-79°F 6%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
26%
84°F or higher
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 16, 2026, 1:36 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate highs in the upper 80s on April 18, 2026, under a persistent subtropical high pressure ridge aloft, fueling trader sentiment for 84°F or higher at 57% market-implied probability, with 82-83°F close behind at 29%. Southerly winds of 10-15 mph transporting warm, humid Gulf air, combined with mostly sunny skies through midday, support above-normal peaks—exceeding the April climatological average of 79°F at Houston Hobby Airport—while overnight lows near 71°F provide a warm baseline for rapid heating. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs has trended warmer over the past 24 hours amid building ridging, though an approaching cold front risks afternoon showers and thunderstorms that could cap intensities below 84°F. Watch for twice-daily NWS updates on frontal timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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