Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 70-71°F on April 20, backed by preliminary observations from the resolving station, William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) via Weather Underground, confirming the peak reached within that range under overcast skies and lingering cool air mass. National Weather Service data aligns, with late-afternoon readings around 64-66°F at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) and NOAA's citywide average of 70.3°F—5.3°F above the 1991-2020 mean but far below typical April highs near 79°F—reflecting post-frontal northerly flow and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from automated sensors, though final certified reports expected soon reinforce the positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Houston on April 20?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 20?
70～71°F 100.0%
65°F以下 <1%
66〜67°F <1%
68～69°F <1%
$126,024 Vol.
$126,024 Vol.
2026/04/20
65°F以下
いいえ
66〜67°F
いいえ
68～69°F
いいえ
70～71°F
はい
72～73°F
いいえ
74～75°F
いいえ
76〜77°F
いいえ
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
70～71°F 100.0%
65°F以下 <1%
66〜67°F <1%
68～69°F <1%
$126,024 Vol.
$126,024 Vol.
2026/04/20
65°F以下
$4,875 Vol.
いいえ
66〜67°F
$8,087 Vol.
いいえ
68～69°F
$44,111 Vol.
いいえ
70～71°F
$19,163 Vol.
はい
72～73°F
$11,476 Vol.
いいえ
74～75°F
$12,521 Vol.
いいえ
76〜77°F
$10,927 Vol.
いいえ
78-79°F
$4,233 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$3,402 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$4,125 Vol.
No
84°F or higher
$3,103 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 70-71°F on April 20, backed by preliminary observations from the resolving station, William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) via Weather Underground, confirming the peak reached within that range under overcast skies and lingering cool air mass. National Weather Service data aligns, with late-afternoon readings around 64-66°F at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) and NOAA's citywide average of 70.3°F—5.3°F above the 1991-2020 mean but far below typical April highs near 79°F—reflecting post-frontal northerly flow and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from automated sensors, though final certified reports expected soon reinforce the positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
音量
$126,024終了日
2026/04/20マーケット開始日
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 70-71°F on April 20, backed by preliminary observations from the resolving station, William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) via Weather Underground, confirming the peak reached within that range under overcast skies and lingering cool air mass. National Weather Service data aligns, with late-afternoon readings around 64-66°F at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) and NOAA's citywide average of 70.3°F—5.3°F above the 1991-2020 mean but far below typical April highs near 79°F—reflecting post-frontal northerly flow and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from automated sensors, though final certified reports expected soon reinforce the positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$126,024終了日
2026/04/20マーケット開始日
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 70-71°F on April 20, backed by preliminary observations from the resolving station, William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) via Weather Underground, confirming the peak reached within that range under overcast skies and lingering cool air mass. National Weather Service data aligns, with late-afternoon readings around 64-66°F at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) and NOAA's citywide average of 70.3°F—5.3°F above the 1991-2020 mean but far below typical April highs near 79°F—reflecting post-frontal northerly flow and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from automated sensors, though final certified reports expected soon reinforce the positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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