Current National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance for Houston on July 18 favors a daily maximum in the low-to-mid 90s under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and moderate humidity, positioning the 92–93 °F bin as the market leader at 38.5 %. Typical July climatology at Intercontinental Airport shows a 1991–2020 normal high of 95 °F, with recent model runs reflecting suppressed heat advection from upstream ridging rather than a strong heat dome. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, limiting upside risk above 96 °F while capping downside probability below 90 °F. Final forecast adjustments from the afternoon model cycle and any late-day convection could still shift the exact bin before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月18日のヒューストンの最高気温は？
7月18日のヒューストンの最高気温は？
92～93°F 100.0%
83°F以下 <1%
84〜85°F <1%
86〜87°F <1%
$30,048 Vol.
$30,048 Vol.
2026/07/18
83°F以下
いいえ
84〜85°F
いいえ
86〜87°F
いいえ
88〜89°F
いいえ
90～91°F
いいえ
92～93°F
はい
94〜95°F
いいえ
96〜97°F
いいえ
98～99°F
いいえ
100～101°F
いいえ
102°F以上
いいえ
92～93°F 100.0%
83°F以下 <1%
84〜85°F <1%
86〜87°F <1%
$30,048 Vol.
$30,048 Vol.
2026/07/18
83°F以下
$335 Vol.
いいえ
84〜85°F
$1,797 Vol.
いいえ
86〜87°F
$899 Vol.
いいえ
88〜89°F
$1,629 Vol.
いいえ
90～91°F
$6,424 Vol.
いいえ
92～93°F
$9,534 Vol.
はい
94〜95°F
$4,033 Vol.
いいえ
96〜97°F
$2,010 Vol.
いいえ
98～99°F
$2,262 Vol.
いいえ
100～101°F
$571 Vol.
いいえ
102°F以上
$554 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance for Houston on July 18 favors a daily maximum in the low-to-mid 90s under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and moderate humidity, positioning the 92–93 °F bin as the market leader at 38.5 %. Typical July climatology at Intercontinental Airport shows a 1991–2020 normal high of 95 °F, with recent model runs reflecting suppressed heat advection from upstream ridging rather than a strong heat dome. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, limiting upside risk above 96 °F while capping downside probability below 90 °F. Final forecast adjustments from the afternoon model cycle and any late-day convection could still shift the exact bin before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$30,048終了日
2026/07/18マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance for Houston on July 18 favors a daily maximum in the low-to-mid 90s under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and moderate humidity, positioning the 92–93 °F bin as the market leader at 38.5 %. Typical July climatology at Intercontinental Airport shows a 1991–2020 normal high of 95 °F, with recent model runs reflecting suppressed heat advection from upstream ridging rather than a strong heat dome. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, limiting upside risk above 96 °F while capping downside probability below 90 °F. Final forecast adjustments from the afternoon model cycle and any late-day convection could still shift the exact bin before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$30,048終了日
2026/07/18マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Current National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance for Houston on July 18 favors a daily maximum in the low-to-mid 90s under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and moderate humidity, positioning the 92–93 °F bin as the market leader at 38.5 %. Typical July climatology at Intercontinental Airport shows a 1991–2020 normal high of 95 °F, with recent model runs reflecting suppressed heat advection from upstream ridging rather than a strong heat dome. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, limiting upside risk above 96 °F while capping downside probability below 90 °F. Final forecast adjustments from the afternoon model cycle and any late-day convection could still shift the exact bin before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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