Current short-range forecasts from major models place Istanbul’s July 6 maximum near 27–29 °C under a ridge of high pressure and moderate northerly flow across the Sea of Marmara. This pattern favors partly sunny skies with limited daytime heating and no significant warm advection, keeping values close to early-July climatology. Ensemble spread and local sea-breeze timing create the tight market clustering around 26 °C and 27 °C; a modest eastward shift in the surface high or stronger southerly component could add 1–2 °C, while stronger northerlies or increased cloud cover would cap the peak nearer 26 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any revised NHC or Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance will be the next key catalysts before the 24-hour observation window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月6日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
7月6日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
27°C 100.0%
22℃以下 <1%
23℃ <1%
24℃ <1%
$71,635 Vol.
$71,635 Vol.
2026/07/06
22℃以下
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27°C
はい
28°C
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30℃
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32°C以上
いいえ
27°C 100.0%
22℃以下 <1%
23℃ <1%
24℃ <1%
$71,635 Vol.
$71,635 Vol.
2026/07/06
22℃以下
$2,952 Vol.
いいえ
23℃
$3,302 Vol.
いいえ
24℃
$3,907 Vol.
いいえ
25°C
$4,920 Vol.
いいえ
26°C
$18,807 Vol.
いいえ
27°C
$15,462 Vol.
はい
28°C
$5,411 Vol.
いいえ
29°C
$4,459 Vol.
いいえ
30℃
$4,398 Vol.
いいえ
31℃
$4,252 Vol.
いいえ
32°C以上
$3,765 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from major models place Istanbul’s July 6 maximum near 27–29 °C under a ridge of high pressure and moderate northerly flow across the Sea of Marmara. This pattern favors partly sunny skies with limited daytime heating and no significant warm advection, keeping values close to early-July climatology. Ensemble spread and local sea-breeze timing create the tight market clustering around 26 °C and 27 °C; a modest eastward shift in the surface high or stronger southerly component could add 1–2 °C, while stronger northerlies or increased cloud cover would cap the peak nearer 26 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any revised NHC or Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance will be the next key catalysts before the 24-hour observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
音量
$71,635終了日
2026/07/06マーケット開始日
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from major models place Istanbul’s July 6 maximum near 27–29 °C under a ridge of high pressure and moderate northerly flow across the Sea of Marmara. This pattern favors partly sunny skies with limited daytime heating and no significant warm advection, keeping values close to early-July climatology. Ensemble spread and local sea-breeze timing create the tight market clustering around 26 °C and 27 °C; a modest eastward shift in the surface high or stronger southerly component could add 1–2 °C, while stronger northerlies or increased cloud cover would cap the peak nearer 26 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any revised NHC or Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance will be the next key catalysts before the 24-hour observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$71,635終了日
2026/07/06マーケット開始日
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Current short-range forecasts from major models place Istanbul’s July 6 maximum near 27–29 °C under a ridge of high pressure and moderate northerly flow across the Sea of Marmara. This pattern favors partly sunny skies with limited daytime heating and no significant warm advection, keeping values close to early-July climatology. Ensemble spread and local sea-breeze timing create the tight market clustering around 26 °C and 27 °C; a modest eastward shift in the surface high or stronger southerly component could add 1–2 °C, while stronger northerlies or increased cloud cover would cap the peak nearer 26 °C. Updated 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any revised NHC or Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance will be the next key catalysts before the 24-hour observation window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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