Recent meteorological observations from Istanbul stations indicate a daily maximum temperature of 22°C, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Official forecasts from regional agencies aligned closely with this reading throughout the day, consistent with typical early-June conditions where highs average 24–26°C but can vary with local wind patterns and cloud cover. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data rather than models alone. Uncertainties such as final official verification from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or minor adjustments in station reporting could still alter resolution if discrepancies emerge before settlement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 6?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 6?
22°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,097 Vol.
$73,097 Vol.
2026/06/06
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,097 Vol.
$73,097 Vol.
2026/06/06
19°C or below
$6,281 Vol.
No
20°C
$6,015 Vol.
No
21°C
$12,828 Vol.
No
22°C
$14,916 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$6,988 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,938 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,165 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,903 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,604 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,531 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$3,928 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations from Istanbul stations indicate a daily maximum temperature of 22°C, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Official forecasts from regional agencies aligned closely with this reading throughout the day, consistent with typical early-June conditions where highs average 24–26°C but can vary with local wind patterns and cloud cover. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data rather than models alone. Uncertainties such as final official verification from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or minor adjustments in station reporting could still alter resolution if discrepancies emerge before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$73,097終了日
2026/06/06マーケット開始日
Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations from Istanbul stations indicate a daily maximum temperature of 22°C, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Official forecasts from regional agencies aligned closely with this reading throughout the day, consistent with typical early-June conditions where highs average 24–26°C but can vary with local wind patterns and cloud cover. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data rather than models alone. Uncertainties such as final official verification from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or minor adjustments in station reporting could still alter resolution if discrepancies emerge before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$73,097終了日
2026/06/06マーケット開始日
Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent meteorological observations from Istanbul stations indicate a daily maximum temperature of 22°C, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Official forecasts from regional agencies aligned closely with this reading throughout the day, consistent with typical early-June conditions where highs average 24–26°C but can vary with local wind patterns and cloud cover. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data rather than models alone. Uncertainties such as final official verification from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or minor adjustments in station reporting could still alter resolution if discrepancies emerge before settlement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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