Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 36°C as the highest temperature in Jeddah today at nearly 100% implied probability, backed by converging short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula drives subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, promoting highs near climatological May norms of 36–37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport—the official measurement site—but coastal sea breezes from the Red Sea cap peak heating around midday to 36°C, consistent with morning observations starting from 26–28°C lows. Model ensembles show minimal spread, with 37°C or higher requiring weaker onshore flow or unexpected radiative heating, unlikely per current soundings; final NCM observations post-midnight will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 1?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 1?
36°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$28,443 Vol.
$28,443 Vol.
2026/05/01
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$28,443 Vol.
$28,443 Vol.
2026/05/01
27°C or below
$710 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,581 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,473 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,544 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,645 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,783 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,347 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,271 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,604 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,068 Vol.
Yes
37°C or higher
$6,416 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 36°C as the highest temperature in Jeddah today at nearly 100% implied probability, backed by converging short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula drives subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, promoting highs near climatological May norms of 36–37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport—the official measurement site—but coastal sea breezes from the Red Sea cap peak heating around midday to 36°C, consistent with morning observations starting from 26–28°C lows. Model ensembles show minimal spread, with 37°C or higher requiring weaker onshore flow or unexpected radiative heating, unlikely per current soundings; final NCM observations post-midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
音量
$28,443終了日
2026/05/01マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 36°C as the highest temperature in Jeddah today at nearly 100% implied probability, backed by converging short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula drives subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, promoting highs near climatological May norms of 36–37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport—the official measurement site—but coastal sea breezes from the Red Sea cap peak heating around midday to 36°C, consistent with morning observations starting from 26–28°C lows. Model ensembles show minimal spread, with 37°C or higher requiring weaker onshore flow or unexpected radiative heating, unlikely per current soundings; final NCM observations post-midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$28,443終了日
2026/05/01マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 36°C as the highest temperature in Jeddah today at nearly 100% implied probability, backed by converging short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula drives subsidence warming and mostly clear skies, promoting highs near climatological May norms of 36–37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport—the official measurement site—but coastal sea breezes from the Red Sea cap peak heating around midday to 36°C, consistent with morning observations starting from 26–28°C lows. Model ensembles show minimal spread, with 37°C or higher requiring weaker onshore flow or unexpected radiative heating, unlikely per current soundings; final NCM observations post-midnight will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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