Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) meteorological station, the designated resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on April 17, underpinning the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome and near-certainty among traders wagering real capital. This peak, likely occurring midday under partly sunny conditions, aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s outlook for sunny spells with later thundery outbreaks in southern Nigeria, which capped heat accumulation via increased cloud cover and humidity. Seasonal norms for mid-April in Lagos show average highs of 32–33°C amid the waning dry season, with sea breezes moderating extremes. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc data revisions from verified airport records.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lagos on April 17?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 17?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$53,144 Vol.
$53,144 Vol.
2026/04/17
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$53,144 Vol.
$53,144 Vol.
2026/04/17
27°C or below
$18,299 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,727 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,985 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,280 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,455 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,702 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,603 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,700 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$3,526 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,458 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$4,406 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) meteorological station, the designated resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on April 17, underpinning the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome and near-certainty among traders wagering real capital. This peak, likely occurring midday under partly sunny conditions, aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s outlook for sunny spells with later thundery outbreaks in southern Nigeria, which capped heat accumulation via increased cloud cover and humidity. Seasonal norms for mid-April in Lagos show average highs of 32–33°C amid the waning dry season, with sea breezes moderating extremes. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc data revisions from verified airport records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
音量
$53,144終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:21 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) meteorological station, the designated resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on April 17, underpinning the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome and near-certainty among traders wagering real capital. This peak, likely occurring midday under partly sunny conditions, aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s outlook for sunny spells with later thundery outbreaks in southern Nigeria, which capped heat accumulation via increased cloud cover and humidity. Seasonal norms for mid-April in Lagos show average highs of 32–33°C amid the waning dry season, with sea breezes moderating extremes. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc data revisions from verified airport records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$53,144終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:21 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) meteorological station, the designated resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on April 17, underpinning the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome and near-certainty among traders wagering real capital. This peak, likely occurring midday under partly sunny conditions, aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s outlook for sunny spells with later thundery outbreaks in southern Nigeria, which capped heat accumulation via increased cloud cover and humidity. Seasonal norms for mid-April in Lagos show average highs of 32–33°C amid the waning dry season, with sea breezes moderating extremes. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc data revisions from verified airport records.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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