Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty for Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, with 33°C leading at 22.5% amid closely matched 32–35°C outcomes, driven by NiMet's short-term forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peak daytime highs near 32–34°C. This clustering stems from Lagos' tropical monsoon climate, where April averages 32.1°C per historical NOAA data, moderated by persistent sea breezes off the Gulf of Guinea and emerging convective clouds signaling the rainy season's onset—reducing solar insolation compared to early April peaks above 34°C. Differentiating factors include potential urban heat island amplification in densely built areas versus coastal cooling, with cloud cover variability creating 1–2°C spreads across ensemble forecasts. NiMet's daily bulletin tomorrow could refine odds as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lagos on April 18?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 18?
33°C 24%
34°C 21%
32°C 20%
31°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/18
27°C or below
9%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
16%
31°C
18%
32°C
20%
33°C
24%
34°C
21%
35°C
18%
36°C
11%
37°C or higher
2%
33°C 24%
34°C 21%
32°C 20%
31°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/18
27°C or below
$2,087 Vol.
9%
28°C
$83 Vol.
1%
29°C
$46 Vol.
7%
30°C
$0 Vol.
16%
31°C
$0 Vol.
18%
32°C
$0 Vol.
20%
33°C
$0 Vol.
24%
34°C
$0 Vol.
21%
35°C
$0 Vol.
18%
36°C
$0 Vol.
11%
37°C or higher
$41 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty for Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, with 33°C leading at 22.5% amid closely matched 32–35°C outcomes, driven by NiMet's short-term forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peak daytime highs near 32–34°C. This clustering stems from Lagos' tropical monsoon climate, where April averages 32.1°C per historical NOAA data, moderated by persistent sea breezes off the Gulf of Guinea and emerging convective clouds signaling the rainy season's onset—reducing solar insolation compared to early April peaks above 34°C. Differentiating factors include potential urban heat island amplification in densely built areas versus coastal cooling, with cloud cover variability creating 1–2°C spreads across ensemble forecasts. NiMet's daily bulletin tomorrow could refine odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ET
音量
$2,122終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty for Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, with 33°C leading at 22.5% amid closely matched 32–35°C outcomes, driven by NiMet's short-term forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peak daytime highs near 32–34°C. This clustering stems from Lagos' tropical monsoon climate, where April averages 32.1°C per historical NOAA data, moderated by persistent sea breezes off the Gulf of Guinea and emerging convective clouds signaling the rainy season's onset—reducing solar insolation compared to early April peaks above 34°C. Differentiating factors include potential urban heat island amplification in densely built areas versus coastal cooling, with cloud cover variability creating 1–2°C spreads across ensemble forecasts. NiMet's daily bulletin tomorrow could refine odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,122終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 2:03 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty for Lagos' highest temperature on April 18, with 33°C leading at 22.5% amid closely matched 32–35°C outcomes, driven by NiMet's short-term forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peak daytime highs near 32–34°C. This clustering stems from Lagos' tropical monsoon climate, where April averages 32.1°C per historical NOAA data, moderated by persistent sea breezes off the Gulf of Guinea and emerging convective clouds signaling the rainy season's onset—reducing solar insolation compared to early April peaks above 34°C. Differentiating factors include potential urban heat island amplification in densely built areas versus coastal cooling, with cloud cover variability creating 1–2°C spreads across ensemble forecasts. NiMet's daily bulletin tomorrow could refine odds as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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