Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a London high of 17°C (41.5%) or 18°C (28.0%) for April 18, aligning with the latest BBC Weather forecast from official UK Met Office data, projecting 17°C under sunny intervals, gentle westerly winds at 8 mph, and 0% precipitation risk. This positioning stems from a post-heatwave cooling trend after early April's record 26.5°C in Kew Gardens on April 8, followed by rain and fronts dropping highs to 14–18°C range. Today's April 17 observations show light clouds yielding near 18°C, with ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF converging on mild, dry high-pressure influence persisting into Saturday. Uncertainties remain in urban heat effects and late-day cloud cover, with final Heathrow readings resolving the market; monitor hourly updates for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in London on April 18?
Highest temperature in London on April 18?
17°C 42%
18°C 30%
16°C 19%
19°C 7%
$33,343 Vol.
$33,343 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
19%
17°C
42%
18°C
30%
19°C
7%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 42%
18°C 30%
16°C 19%
19°C 7%
$33,343 Vol.
$33,343 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
19%
17°C
42%
18°C
30%
19°C
7%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 16, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a London high of 17°C (41.5%) or 18°C (28.0%) for April 18, aligning with the latest BBC Weather forecast from official UK Met Office data, projecting 17°C under sunny intervals, gentle westerly winds at 8 mph, and 0% precipitation risk. This positioning stems from a post-heatwave cooling trend after early April's record 26.5°C in Kew Gardens on April 8, followed by rain and fronts dropping highs to 14–18°C range. Today's April 17 observations show light clouds yielding near 18°C, with ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF converging on mild, dry high-pressure influence persisting into Saturday. Uncertainties remain in urban heat effects and late-day cloud cover, with final Heathrow readings resolving the market; monitor hourly updates for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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