Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (31.5%) and 16°C (30.0%) as the highest temperature in London on April 19, reflecting short-range forecast model agreement from the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS on mild spring conditions around 15-16°C amid a high-pressure ridge over southern England. This follows an early April record heat event peaking at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens on April 8—the UK's warmest early April day in 80 years—now transitioning to more seasonal norms with southerly breezes and partial cloud cover introducing uncertainty in peak afternoon heating. Key differentiators include model spreads on boundary layer mixing and insolation; fuller sunshine favors 16°C, while increased low cloud tips toward 15°C. Watch Met Office updates Saturday for refined guidance ahead of resolution. ENSO-neutral conditions underpin typical April variability, with historical London highs averaging 13-14°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月19日のロンドンの最高気温は？
4月19日のロンドンの最高気温は？
15°C 32%
16°C 31%
17°C 16%
14℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/19
9°C以下
<1%
10°C
1%
11℃
1%
12℃
1%
13℃
3%
14℃
14%
15°C
32%
16°C
31%
17°C
16%
18°C
6%
19℃以上
2%
15°C 32%
16°C 31%
17°C 16%
14℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/19
9°C以下
$687 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$565 Vol.
1%
11℃
$624 Vol.
1%
12℃
$783 Vol.
1%
13℃
$781 Vol.
3%
14℃
$145 Vol.
14%
15°C
$141 Vol.
32%
16°C
$129 Vol.
31%
17°C
$389 Vol.
16%
18°C
$496 Vol.
6%
19℃以上
$443 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (31.5%) and 16°C (30.0%) as the highest temperature in London on April 19, reflecting short-range forecast model agreement from the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS on mild spring conditions around 15-16°C amid a high-pressure ridge over southern England. This follows an early April record heat event peaking at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens on April 8—the UK's warmest early April day in 80 years—now transitioning to more seasonal norms with southerly breezes and partial cloud cover introducing uncertainty in peak afternoon heating. Key differentiators include model spreads on boundary layer mixing and insolation; fuller sunshine favors 16°C, while increased low cloud tips toward 15°C. Watch Met Office updates Saturday for refined guidance ahead of resolution. ENSO-neutral conditions underpin typical April variability, with historical London highs averaging 13-14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$5,181終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (31.5%) and 16°C (30.0%) as the highest temperature in London on April 19, reflecting short-range forecast model agreement from the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS on mild spring conditions around 15-16°C amid a high-pressure ridge over southern England. This follows an early April record heat event peaking at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens on April 8—the UK's warmest early April day in 80 years—now transitioning to more seasonal norms with southerly breezes and partial cloud cover introducing uncertainty in peak afternoon heating. Key differentiators include model spreads on boundary layer mixing and insolation; fuller sunshine favors 16°C, while increased low cloud tips toward 15°C. Watch Met Office updates Saturday for refined guidance ahead of resolution. ENSO-neutral conditions underpin typical April variability, with historical London highs averaging 13-14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5,181終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (31.5%) and 16°C (30.0%) as the highest temperature in London on April 19, reflecting short-range forecast model agreement from the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS on mild spring conditions around 15-16°C amid a high-pressure ridge over southern England. This follows an early April record heat event peaking at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens on April 8—the UK's warmest early April day in 80 years—now transitioning to more seasonal norms with southerly breezes and partial cloud cover introducing uncertainty in peak afternoon heating. Key differentiators include model spreads on boundary layer mixing and insolation; fuller sunshine favors 16°C, while increased low cloud tips toward 15°C. Watch Met Office updates Saturday for refined guidance ahead of resolution. ENSO-neutral conditions underpin typical April variability, with historical London highs averaging 13-14°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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