Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 21°C as London's highest temperature on April 27, reflecting official Met Office observations from London City Airport—the market's resolution source—which recorded a maximum of 21°C amid mostly sunny conditions and a high-pressure system. This outcome aligns with post-heatwave cooling after early April records near 26°C in Kew Gardens, returning temperatures to mild late-spring norms (seasonal Heathrow average ~15°C) under light southerly winds and low cloud cover. Model forecasts from ECMWF and UKMO had converged on 20-22°C peaks pre-event, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges are negligible, as provisional data rarely revises post-quality control, barring sensor anomalies confirmed within days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in London on April 27?
Highest temperature in London on April 27?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$294,925 Vol.
$294,925 Vol.
2026/04/27
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$294,925 Vol.
$294,925 Vol.
2026/04/27
15°C or below
$9,558 Vol.
No
16°C
$9,638 Vol.
No
17°C
$7,438 Vol.
No
18°C
$38,502 Vol.
No
19°C
$32,669 Vol.
No
20°C
$93,388 Vol.
No
21°C
$36,299 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$31,587 Vol.
No
23°C
$17,159 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,415 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$10,272 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 21°C as London's highest temperature on April 27, reflecting official Met Office observations from London City Airport—the market's resolution source—which recorded a maximum of 21°C amid mostly sunny conditions and a high-pressure system. This outcome aligns with post-heatwave cooling after early April records near 26°C in Kew Gardens, returning temperatures to mild late-spring norms (seasonal Heathrow average ~15°C) under light southerly winds and low cloud cover. Model forecasts from ECMWF and UKMO had converged on 20-22°C peaks pre-event, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges are negligible, as provisional data rarely revises post-quality control, barring sensor anomalies confirmed within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 25, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$294,925終了日
2026/04/27マーケット開始日
Apr 25, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 21°C as London's highest temperature on April 27, reflecting official Met Office observations from London City Airport—the market's resolution source—which recorded a maximum of 21°C amid mostly sunny conditions and a high-pressure system. This outcome aligns with post-heatwave cooling after early April records near 26°C in Kew Gardens, returning temperatures to mild late-spring norms (seasonal Heathrow average ~15°C) under light southerly winds and low cloud cover. Model forecasts from ECMWF and UKMO had converged on 20-22°C peaks pre-event, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges are negligible, as provisional data rarely revises post-quality control, barring sensor anomalies confirmed within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$294,925終了日
2026/04/27マーケット開始日
Apr 25, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 21°C as London's highest temperature on April 27, reflecting official Met Office observations from London City Airport—the market's resolution source—which recorded a maximum of 21°C amid mostly sunny conditions and a high-pressure system. This outcome aligns with post-heatwave cooling after early April records near 26°C in Kew Gardens, returning temperatures to mild late-spring norms (seasonal Heathrow average ~15°C) under light southerly winds and low cloud cover. Model forecasts from ECMWF and UKMO had converged on 20-22°C peaks pre-event, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges are negligible, as provisional data rarely revises post-quality control, barring sensor anomalies confirmed within days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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