Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Los Angeles on May 10, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX)—the market's authoritative source—which recorded a peak of 69°F around mid-morning amid a persistent marine layer and onshore flow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with hourly data showing temperatures stalling in the upper 60s under scattered low clouds, well below the typical May average high near 72°F influenced by coastal climatology. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from NOAA climatological audits, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur infrequently post-preliminary reporting. Final verified records expected within days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 10?
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$60,573 Vol.
$60,573 Vol.
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$60,573 Vol.
$60,573 Vol.
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 8, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 68-69°F high in Los Angeles on May 10, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX)—the market's authoritative source—which recorded a peak of 69°F around mid-morning amid a persistent marine layer and onshore flow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with hourly data showing temperatures stalling in the upper 60s under scattered low clouds, well below the typical May average high near 72°F influenced by coastal climatology. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from NOAA climatological audits, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur infrequently post-preliminary reporting. Final verified records expected within days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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