Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the reference station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on April 28, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Hourly measurements confirmed this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-event forecast models from ECMWF and GFS predicting highs near 25–26°C under high-pressure influence. April climatology at Barajas typically sees average highs of 19°C, but recent mild Atlantic flows supported this above-normal reading. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an official data revision, such as sensor recalibration, could shift resolution, though AEMET daily maxima are rarely amended post-validation. Traders await final AEMET bulletin for closure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Madrid on April 28?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 28?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,959 Vol.
$73,959 Vol.
2026/04/28
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,959 Vol.
$73,959 Vol.
2026/04/28
19°C or below
$1,898 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,241 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,198 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,277 Vol.
No
23°C
$13,092 Vol.
No
24°C
$10,247 Vol.
No
25°C
$12,744 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$9,090 Vol.
No
27°C
$7,753 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,206 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$5,211 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the reference station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on April 28, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Hourly measurements confirmed this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-event forecast models from ECMWF and GFS predicting highs near 25–26°C under high-pressure influence. April climatology at Barajas typically sees average highs of 19°C, but recent mild Atlantic flows supported this above-normal reading. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an official data revision, such as sensor recalibration, could shift resolution, though AEMET daily maxima are rarely amended post-validation. Traders await final AEMET bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 26, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
音量
$73,959終了日
2026/04/28マーケット開始日
Apr 26, 2026, 12:14 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the reference station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on April 28, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Hourly measurements confirmed this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-event forecast models from ECMWF and GFS predicting highs near 25–26°C under high-pressure influence. April climatology at Barajas typically sees average highs of 19°C, but recent mild Atlantic flows supported this above-normal reading. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an official data revision, such as sensor recalibration, could shift resolution, though AEMET daily maxima are rarely amended post-validation. Traders await final AEMET bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$73,959終了日
2026/04/28マーケット開始日
Apr 26, 2026, 12:14 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the reference station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on April 28, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Hourly measurements confirmed this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-event forecast models from ECMWF and GFS predicting highs near 25–26°C under high-pressure influence. April climatology at Barajas typically sees average highs of 19°C, but recent mild Atlantic flows supported this above-normal reading. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an official data revision, such as sensor recalibration, could shift resolution, though AEMET daily maxima are rarely amended post-validation. Traders await final AEMET bulletin for closure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問