Forecast models from agencies like Spain's AEMET and international ensembles indicate Madrid's June 18 maximum will likely reach 34–36 °C at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station used for resolution, with 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes trading near parity due to small differences in predicted peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong June insolation favor rapid daytime heating over the central plateau, while light easterly flow limits advection of cooler Atlantic air. Recent observations show temperatures 2–4 °C above the long-term June average, sustaining the tight spread. Updated afternoon soundings and any late adjustments to surface wind or cloud cover could tip the final reading between the two leading bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Madrid on June 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 18?
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$86,398 Vol.
$86,398 Vol.
2026/06/18
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$86,398 Vol.
$86,398 Vol.
2026/06/18
31°C or below
$1,666 Vol.
No
32°C
$571 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,488 Vol.
No
34°C
$17,048 Vol.
No
35°C
$17,289 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$21,057 Vol.
No
37°C
$16,363 Vol.
No
38°C
$6,526 Vol.
No
39°C
$1,056 Vol.
No
40°C
$655 Vol.
No
41°C or higher
$680 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like Spain's AEMET and international ensembles indicate Madrid's June 18 maximum will likely reach 34–36 °C at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station used for resolution, with 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes trading near parity due to small differences in predicted peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong June insolation favor rapid daytime heating over the central plateau, while light easterly flow limits advection of cooler Atlantic air. Recent observations show temperatures 2–4 °C above the long-term June average, sustaining the tight spread. Updated afternoon soundings and any late adjustments to surface wind or cloud cover could tip the final reading between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
音量
$86,398終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like Spain's AEMET and international ensembles indicate Madrid's June 18 maximum will likely reach 34–36 °C at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station used for resolution, with 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes trading near parity due to small differences in predicted peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong June insolation favor rapid daytime heating over the central plateau, while light easterly flow limits advection of cooler Atlantic air. Recent observations show temperatures 2–4 °C above the long-term June average, sustaining the tight spread. Updated afternoon soundings and any late adjustments to surface wind or cloud cover could tip the final reading between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$86,398終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Forecast models from agencies like Spain's AEMET and international ensembles indicate Madrid's June 18 maximum will likely reach 34–36 °C at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station used for resolution, with 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes trading near parity due to small differences in predicted peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong June insolation favor rapid daytime heating over the central plateau, while light easterly flow limits advection of cooler Atlantic air. Recent observations show temperatures 2–4 °C above the long-term June average, sustaining the tight spread. Updated afternoon soundings and any late adjustments to surface wind or cloud cover could tip the final reading between the two leading bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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