PAGASA observations confirm Metro Manila's hot, dry conditions under a persistent ridge of high pressure, with the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the primary urban reference—peaking at 35.1°C on April 18, while nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA, RPLL) hit 36.3°C per end-of-day reports updated at 11:59 PM. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 35°C reflects real-time monitoring of the resolution source, Wunderground's NAIA history data (rounded to whole degrees Celsius), showing no breach beyond that threshold amid post-sunset cooling and declining solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include a final data revision upward from provisional METAR reports or an anomalous late-evening heat spike, though unlikely given nocturnal boundary layer stabilization; watch for Wunderground's finalized daily summary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Manila on April 18?
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$23,454 Vol.
$23,454 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$23,454 Vol.
$23,454 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 16, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
PAGASA observations confirm Metro Manila's hot, dry conditions under a persistent ridge of high pressure, with the Science Garden station in Quezon City—the primary urban reference—peaking at 35.1°C on April 18, while nearby Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA, RPLL) hit 36.3°C per end-of-day reports updated at 11:59 PM. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 35°C reflects real-time monitoring of the resolution source, Wunderground's NAIA history data (rounded to whole degrees Celsius), showing no breach beyond that threshold amid post-sunset cooling and declining solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include a final data revision upward from provisional METAR reports or an anomalous late-evening heat spike, though unlikely given nocturnal boundary layer stabilization; watch for Wunderground's finalized daily summary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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