Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 31°C on July 1 under the southwest monsoon, with 40-60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31-32°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential, while the modest probabilities for 33-34°C reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from convective activity and humidity can shift outcomes by 1-2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月1日のマニラの最高気温は？
7月1日のマニラの最高気温は？
34℃ 100.0%
26℃以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28℃ <1%
$136,479 Vol.
$136,479 Vol.
2026/07/01
26℃以下
いいえ
27°C
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30℃
いいえ
31°C
いいえ
32℃
いいえ
33°C
いいえ
34℃
はい
35℃
いいえ
36°C以上
いいえ
34℃ 100.0%
26℃以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28℃ <1%
$136,479 Vol.
$136,479 Vol.
2026/07/01
26℃以下
$14,601 Vol.
いいえ
27°C
$18,536 Vol.
いいえ
28℃
$19,716 Vol.
いいえ
29°C
$17,050 Vol.
いいえ
30℃
$14,084 Vol.
いいえ
31°C
$15,064 Vol.
いいえ
32℃
$10,072 Vol.
いいえ
33°C
$10,778 Vol.
いいえ
34℃
$6,493 Vol.
はい
35℃
$4,959 Vol.
いいえ
36°C以上
$5,128 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 31°C on July 1 under the southwest monsoon, with 40-60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31-32°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential, while the modest probabilities for 33-34°C reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from convective activity and humidity can shift outcomes by 1-2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$136,479終了日
2026/07/01マーケット開始日
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 31°C on July 1 under the southwest monsoon, with 40-60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31-32°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential, while the modest probabilities for 33-34°C reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from convective activity and humidity can shift outcomes by 1-2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$136,479終了日
2026/07/01マーケット開始日
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 31°C on July 1 under the southwest monsoon, with 40-60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31-32°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential, while the modest probabilities for 33-34°C reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from convective activity and humidity can shift outcomes by 1-2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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