Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts anchor trader consensus around a 20-21°C high for Milan today, with 21°C leading at 40.5% implied probability under a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies over northern Italy, following ARPA Lombardia's noted progressive warming from yesterday's 16-18°C plains maxima. The tight race—20°C at 32% and 22°C at 25.5%—reflects genuine model uncertainty from ensemble spreads, particularly afternoon cloud variations affecting solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or boost peak temperatures by 1-2°C. Historical April climatology averages 18-19°C highs, but current ridging favors above-normal warmth; monitor Malpensa Airport observations for resolution as maximum heating hits mid-afternoon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Milan on April 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 15?
21°C 40%
20°C 32%
22°C 28%
23°C or higher 5.5%
新規
$45,983 Vol.
新規
$45,983 Vol.
2026/04/15
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
32%
21°C
40%
22°C
28%
23°C or higher
6%
21°C 40%
20°C 32%
22°C 28%
23°C or higher 5.5%
新規
$45,983 Vol.
新規
$45,983 Vol.
2026/04/15
13°C or below
$6,271 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,637 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$3,390 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,991 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,691 Vol.
1%
18°C
$5,476 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$6,576 Vol.
2%
20°C
$5,166 Vol.
32%
21°C
$3,334 Vol.
40%
22°C
$2,701 Vol.
28%
23°C or higher
$4,756 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts anchor trader consensus around a 20-21°C high for Milan today, with 21°C leading at 40.5% implied probability under a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies over northern Italy, following ARPA Lombardia's noted progressive warming from yesterday's 16-18°C plains maxima. The tight race—20°C at 32% and 22°C at 25.5%—reflects genuine model uncertainty from ensemble spreads, particularly afternoon cloud variations affecting solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or boost peak temperatures by 1-2°C. Historical April climatology averages 18-19°C highs, but current ridging favors above-normal warmth; monitor Malpensa Airport observations for resolution as maximum heating hits mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
音量
$45,983終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts anchor trader consensus around a 20-21°C high for Milan today, with 21°C leading at 40.5% implied probability under a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies over northern Italy, following ARPA Lombardia's noted progressive warming from yesterday's 16-18°C plains maxima. The tight race—20°C at 32% and 22°C at 25.5%—reflects genuine model uncertainty from ensemble spreads, particularly afternoon cloud variations affecting solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or boost peak temperatures by 1-2°C. Historical April climatology averages 18-19°C highs, but current ridging favors above-normal warmth; monitor Malpensa Airport observations for resolution as maximum heating hits mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$45,983終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts anchor trader consensus around a 20-21°C high for Milan today, with 21°C leading at 40.5% implied probability under a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies over northern Italy, following ARPA Lombardia's noted progressive warming from yesterday's 16-18°C plains maxima. The tight race—20°C at 32% and 22°C at 25.5%—reflects genuine model uncertainty from ensemble spreads, particularly afternoon cloud variations affecting solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or boost peak temperatures by 1-2°C. Historical April climatology averages 18-19°C highs, but current ridging favors above-normal warmth; monitor Malpensa Airport observations for resolution as maximum heating hits mid-afternoon.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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