Recent ensemble model guidance points to a moderating synoptic pattern over Moscow on July 7, with daytime highs most likely settling near 18–20°C amid increased mid-level moisture, cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. This setup keeps probabilities tightly clustered around those bins, as small shifts in timing or coverage of precipitation could tip the daily maximum between 18°C and 20°C. Historical early-July averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet current runs show cooler-than-normal conditions driven by enhanced westerly flow. Traders weigh these variables against model spread, noting that clearer breaks or stronger ridging could briefly allow 21°C readings before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月7日のモスクワの最高気温は？
7月7日のモスクワの最高気温は？
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$83,382 Vol.
$83,382 Vol.
2026/07/07
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24℃以上
いいえ
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$83,382 Vol.
$83,382 Vol.
2026/07/07
14°C or below
$2,573 Vol.
No
15°C
$2,814 Vol.
No
16°C
$4,017 Vol.
No
17°C
$7,484 Vol.
No
18°C
$6,547 Vol.
No
19°C
$25,018 Vol.
No
20°C
$11,109 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$7,631 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,134 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,947 Vol.
No
24℃以上
$4,110 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble model guidance points to a moderating synoptic pattern over Moscow on July 7, with daytime highs most likely settling near 18–20°C amid increased mid-level moisture, cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. This setup keeps probabilities tightly clustered around those bins, as small shifts in timing or coverage of precipitation could tip the daily maximum between 18°C and 20°C. Historical early-July averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet current runs show cooler-than-normal conditions driven by enhanced westerly flow. Traders weigh these variables against model spread, noting that clearer breaks or stronger ridging could briefly allow 21°C readings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$83,382終了日
2026/07/07マーケット開始日
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble model guidance points to a moderating synoptic pattern over Moscow on July 7, with daytime highs most likely settling near 18–20°C amid increased mid-level moisture, cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. This setup keeps probabilities tightly clustered around those bins, as small shifts in timing or coverage of precipitation could tip the daily maximum between 18°C and 20°C. Historical early-July averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet current runs show cooler-than-normal conditions driven by enhanced westerly flow. Traders weigh these variables against model spread, noting that clearer breaks or stronger ridging could briefly allow 21°C readings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$83,382終了日
2026/07/07マーケット開始日
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent ensemble model guidance points to a moderating synoptic pattern over Moscow on July 7, with daytime highs most likely settling near 18–20°C amid increased mid-level moisture, cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. This setup keeps probabilities tightly clustered around those bins, as small shifts in timing or coverage of precipitation could tip the daily maximum between 18°C and 20°C. Historical early-July averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet current runs show cooler-than-normal conditions driven by enhanced westerly flow. Traders weigh these variables against model spread, noting that clearer breaks or stronger ridging could briefly allow 21°C readings before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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