Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 17-20°C amid a transitional spring pattern with a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe potentially yielding southerly winds and partial clearing, driving the slight 26% market-implied edge for 22°C or higher as traders weigh optimistic clear-sky outliers against baseline climatological averages of 13-15°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover uncertainty—full sunshine could push peaks above 21°C via enhanced solar heating, while scattered showers or overcast skies from residual fronts cap readings at 15-18°C—and subtle air mass contrasts, with warmer Mediterranean inflows versus cooler continental air. DWD updates and new model runs expected within 24-48 hours may sharpen consensus before resolution via official Munich Airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on April 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 17?
19°C 30%
18°C 25%
20°C 24%
21°C 14%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
9%
17°C
9%
18°C
25%
19°C
30%
20°C
24%
21°C
14%
22°C or higher
11%
19°C 30%
18°C 25%
20°C 24%
21°C 14%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
9%
17°C
9%
18°C
25%
19°C
30%
20°C
24%
21°C
14%
22°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Munich's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 17-20°C amid a transitional spring pattern with a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe potentially yielding southerly winds and partial clearing, driving the slight 26% market-implied edge for 22°C or higher as traders weigh optimistic clear-sky outliers against baseline climatological averages of 13-15°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover uncertainty—full sunshine could push peaks above 21°C via enhanced solar heating, while scattered showers or overcast skies from residual fronts cap readings at 15-18°C—and subtle air mass contrasts, with warmer Mediterranean inflows versus cooler continental air. DWD updates and new model runs expected within 24-48 hours may sharpen consensus before resolution via official Munich Airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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