Official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) measurements from the Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 14°C on April 20, 2026, peaking around 17:00 local time amid northerly winds and partly cloudy skies, driving Polymarket trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Pre-event ensemble forecasts from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS models had converged on 13–14°C highs, reflecting a cool air mass over Central Europe with low solar insolation and stable atmospheric conditions typical for mid-April in the region, where historical averages hover around 13°C. Realistic challenges would require rare DWD data revisions or measurement discrepancies, but verified observations lock in resolution with negligible uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on April 20?
14°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$163,583 Vol.
$163,583 Vol.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$163,583 Vol.
$163,583 Vol.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 18, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) measurements from the Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 14°C on April 20, 2026, peaking around 17:00 local time amid northerly winds and partly cloudy skies, driving Polymarket trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Pre-event ensemble forecasts from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS models had converged on 13–14°C highs, reflecting a cool air mass over Central Europe with low solar insolation and stable atmospheric conditions typical for mid-April in the region, where historical averages hover around 13°C. Realistic challenges would require rare DWD data revisions or measurement discrepancies, but verified observations lock in resolution with negligible uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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