Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 15-18°C in Munich on April 6, driven by a transitional ridge allowing partial sun amid lingering northwest flow following recent cool, cloudy conditions (9°C high on April 2). Trader-implied odds favor 14°C at 28% implied probability, with 13-15°C capturing over 60% consensus, reflecting model spread where persistent cloud cover or afternoon showers—tied to frontal timing and convective potential—could cap peaks at 13°C, while clearer breaks push toward 16°C. Early April climatology averages 12-14°C highs, amplifying short-range uncertainty; monitor daily DWD updates and 12Z model refreshes for shifts ahead of resolution using official airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on April 6?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 6?
14°C 29%
16°C 16%
15°C 15%
17°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
10°C以下
1%
11℃
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
16%
14°C
29%
15°C
15%
16°C
16%
17°C
13%
18°C
11%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
14°C 29%
16°C 16%
15°C 15%
17°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
10°C以下
$338 Vol.
1%
11℃
$921 Vol.
1%
12°C
$290 Vol.
7%
13°C
$210 Vol.
16%
14°C
$159 Vol.
29%
15°C
$146 Vol.
15%
16°C
$115 Vol.
16%
17°C
$95 Vol.
13%
18°C
$135 Vol.
11%
19°C
$94 Vol.
3%
20°C or higher
$139 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 15-18°C in Munich on April 6, driven by a transitional ridge allowing partial sun amid lingering northwest flow following recent cool, cloudy conditions (9°C high on April 2). Trader-implied odds favor 14°C at 28% implied probability, with 13-15°C capturing over 60% consensus, reflecting model spread where persistent cloud cover or afternoon showers—tied to frontal timing and convective potential—could cap peaks at 13°C, while clearer breaks push toward 16°C. Early April climatology averages 12-14°C highs, amplifying short-range uncertainty; monitor daily DWD updates and 12Z model refreshes for shifts ahead of resolution using official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$2,573終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 15-18°C in Munich on April 6, driven by a transitional ridge allowing partial sun amid lingering northwest flow following recent cool, cloudy conditions (9°C high on April 2). Trader-implied odds favor 14°C at 28% implied probability, with 13-15°C capturing over 60% consensus, reflecting model spread where persistent cloud cover or afternoon showers—tied to frontal timing and convective potential—could cap peaks at 13°C, while clearer breaks push toward 16°C. Early April climatology averages 12-14°C highs, amplifying short-range uncertainty; monitor daily DWD updates and 12Z model refreshes for shifts ahead of resolution using official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,573終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETLatest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 15-18°C in Munich on April 6, driven by a transitional ridge allowing partial sun amid lingering northwest flow following recent cool, cloudy conditions (9°C high on April 2). Trader-implied odds favor 14°C at 28% implied probability, with 13-15°C capturing over 60% consensus, reflecting model spread where persistent cloud cover or afternoon showers—tied to frontal timing and convective potential—could cap peaks at 13°C, while clearer breaks push toward 16°C. Early April climatology averages 12-14°C highs, amplifying short-range uncertainty; monitor daily DWD updates and 12Z model refreshes for shifts ahead of resolution using official airport observations.
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