Official meteorological observations from the German Weather Service (DWD) and Munich-area stations recorded a daily maximum temperature of 23°C on June 1, establishing the market resolution. This outcome aligned with short-range forecast models initialized 24–48 hours earlier, which projected modest warming under a stable high-pressure ridge with light winds and partly cloudy skies limiting extreme heat buildup. Historical June averages for the region hover near 20–22°C, providing climatological context for the modest exceedance. Near-certain trader positioning at 100% reflects verified station data rather than projections, though minor revisions in post-event quality control could theoretically shift the exact figure by 1°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on June 1?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$86,842 Vol.
$86,842 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$86,842 Vol.
$86,842 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: May 30, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official meteorological observations from the German Weather Service (DWD) and Munich-area stations recorded a daily maximum temperature of 23°C on June 1, establishing the market resolution. This outcome aligned with short-range forecast models initialized 24–48 hours earlier, which projected modest warming under a stable high-pressure ridge with light winds and partly cloudy skies limiting extreme heat buildup. Historical June averages for the region hover near 20–22°C, providing climatological context for the modest exceedance. Near-certain trader positioning at 100% reflects verified station data rather than projections, though minor revisions in post-event quality control could theoretically shift the exact figure by 1°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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